Ole Miss Rebels at Florida Gators college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 26
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Florida home
- Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 28 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Ole Miss visits Florida in Week 4.
Ole Miss travels to Florida at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 28 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Trinidad Chambliss (MISS), Jadan Baugh (FLA), and Kewan Lacy (MISS).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
28 player distributions are available, led by Trinidad Chambliss (MISS).
Venue context
Florida is the designated home team at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:02+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:02+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Ole Miss pass protection vs Florida pass rush
Ole Miss's pass protection graded 70.5 in 2025 (32nd of 136); Florida's pass rush graded 62.3 (106th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Ole Miss's pass protection.
Florida pass protection vs Ole Miss pass rush
Florida's pass protection graded 68.2 in 2025 (50th of 136); Ole Miss's pass rush graded 64.7 (76th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Florida's pass protection.
Ole Miss receiving corps vs Florida coverage
Ole Miss's receiving corps graded 71.0 in 2025 (7th of 136); Florida's coverage graded 62.3 (92nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Ole Miss's receiving corps.
Florida receiving corps vs Ole Miss coverage
Florida's receiving corps graded 62.6 in 2025 (101st of 136); Ole Miss's coverage graded 64.7 (66th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Ole Miss's coverage.
Ole Miss rush offense vs Florida run defense
Ole Miss's rush offense graded 83.7 in 2025 (5th of 136); Florida's run defense graded 69.6 (39th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Ole Miss's rush offense.
Florida rush offense vs Ole Miss run defense
Florida's rush offense graded 82.5 in 2025 (11th of 136); Ole Miss's run defense graded 70.2 (33rd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Florida's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Ole Miss
14 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinidad ChamblissHIGH CEILING · Tier 4 | QB | 20.59.2–28.4 | 212136–282 | 322–50 | — | — |
| Kewan LacyELITE · Tier 3 | RB | 17.88.5–24.4 | — | 9235–119 | 1.90.9–3.5 | — |
| Maealiuaki SmithHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 9.02.0–19.6 | 14442–243 | — | — | — |
| Traylon RayHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 10.33.2–15.5 | — | — | 3.21.0–4.8 | 5015–66 |
| Deuce AlexanderHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 9.32.8–14.6 | — | — | 3.11.1–4.5 | 4513–64 |
| Horatio FieldsELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 9.23.2–14.5 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.4 | 4112–60 |
| Luke Haszbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 9.12.9–14.2 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.9 | 3913–61 |
| Johntay Cook IIELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 8.32.5–11.9 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.8 | 4011–59 |
| Darrell Gill Jr.ELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 8.72.6–14.5 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.8 | 3711–55 |
| Makhi FrazierELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.52.5–13.9 | — | 4112–66 | — | — |
| Caleb Odombalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.12.2–10.8 | — | — | — | 309–46 |
| Cameron MillerSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 6.62.1–10.3 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 318–46 |
| Isaiah SpencerELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 6.61.8–10.7 | — | — | — | 308–44 |
| Michael SmithVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.7–10.3 | — | — | — | — |
Florida
14 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadan BaughELITE · Tier 1 | RB | 18.57.5–25.3 | — | 8234–115 | 2.10.9–4.0 | 170–23 |
| London MontgomeryHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | RB | 13.84.2–22.0 | — | 6117–92 | — | — |
| Eric Singleton Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | WR | 10.94.2–17.9 | — | — | 4.41.1–6.7 | 5216–71 |
| Evan PryorELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.93.0–15.2 | — | 379–59 | 1.80.9–3.4 | 140–20 |
| Dallas WilsonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 8.22.4–14.8 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.8 | 3912–57 |
| Vernell Brown IIIELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 9.42.8–15.1 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.8 | 4616–67 |
| Aaron PhiloHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 8.11.1–15.4 | 12018–209 | 21-1–38 | — | — |
| Micah Mays Jr.ELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 8.12.7–13.3 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 3911–56 |
| Luke Harpringbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.02.0–11.3 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.0 | 329–48 |
| Bailey StocktonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 7.02.3–11.3 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.0 | 349–48 |
| Kahleil JacksonHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 6.91.9–10.5 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 308–45 |
| Amir JacksonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 5.91.5–9.5 | — | — | — | — |
| TJ AbramsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 6.71.9–10.8 | — | — | 2.51.0–4.0 | 319–41 |
| Lacota DippreELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.9–11.1 | — | — | — | 318–46 |
Ole Miss
- Pass yds
- 212
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rush yds
- 92
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Pass yds
- 144
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 50
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 45
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 41
- Rec yds
- 30
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 30
Florida
- Rush yds
- 82
- Receptions
- 2.1
- Rec yds
- 17
- Rush yds
- 61
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 52
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 1.8
- Rec yds
- 14
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 46
- Pass yds
- 120
- Rush yds
- 21
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 30
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 31
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinidad ChamblissQB · MISS | Passing yards | 212.3 | 214.0 | 136.2–281.7 | Shop the line |
| Jadan BaughRB · FLA | Rushing yards | 81.6 | 72.7 | 33.7–114.7 | Shop the line |
| Kewan LacyRB · MISS | Rushing yards | 92.3 | 77.8 | 34.7–119.4 | Shop the line |
| London MontgomeryRB · FLA | Rushing yards | 61.3 | 54.1 | 16.8–91.5 | Shop the line |
| Eric Singleton Jr.WR · FLA | Receiving yards | 51.8 | 44.6 | 16.3–71.1 | Shop the line |
| Maealiuaki SmithQB · MISS | Passing yards | 143.6 | 154.9 | 41.8–242.9 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 212.3
- Median
- 214.0
- 20th–80th
- 136.2–281.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 81.6
- Median
- 72.7
- 20th–80th
- 33.7–114.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 92.3
- Median
- 77.8
- 20th–80th
- 34.7–119.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 61.3
- Median
- 54.1
- 20th–80th
- 16.8–91.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 51.8
- Median
- 44.6
- 20th–80th
- 16.3–71.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 143.6
- Median
- 154.9
- 20th–80th
- 41.8–242.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated