Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 31
- 3:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Neutral site
- Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 22 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Georgia and Florida open on a neutral stage.
Georgia and Florida meet on a neutral stage at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 22 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Jadan Baugh (FLA), Gunner Stockton (UGA), and Nate Frazier (UGA).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
22 player distributions are available, led by Jadan Baugh (FLA).
Neutral-site context
Mercedes-Benz Stadium removes the standard home-field assumption.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Florida pass protection vs Georgia pass rush
Florida's pass protection graded 68.2 in 2025 (50th of 136); Georgia's pass rush graded 61.4 (119th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Florida's pass protection.
Georgia pass protection vs Florida pass rush
Georgia's pass protection graded 72.2 in 2025 (19th of 136); Florida's pass rush graded 62.3 (106th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Georgia's pass protection.
Florida receiving corps vs Georgia coverage
Florida's receiving corps graded 62.6 in 2025 (101st of 136); Georgia's coverage graded 65.6 (52nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Georgia's coverage.
Georgia receiving corps vs Florida coverage
Georgia's receiving corps graded 65.8 in 2025 (54th of 136); Florida's coverage graded 62.3 (92nd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Georgia's receiving corps.
Florida rush offense vs Georgia run defense
Florida's rush offense graded 82.5 in 2025 (11th of 136); Georgia's run defense graded 75.5 (3rd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Georgia rush offense vs Florida run defense
Georgia's rush offense graded 77.9 in 2025 (44th of 136); Florida's run defense graded 69.6 (39th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Florida
14 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadan BaughELITE · Tier 1 | RB | 18.27.5–25.1 | — | 8234–115 | 2.20.9–4.0 | 170–23 |
| London MontgomeryHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | RB | 13.84.2–21.5 | — | 6117–92 | — | — |
| Eric Singleton Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.94.2–17.9 | — | — | 4.41.1–6.7 | 5216–71 |
| Evan PryorELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.93.0–15.2 | — | 379–59 | 1.90.9–3.4 | 140–20 |
| Dallas WilsonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.22.4–14.8 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.8 | 3912–57 |
| Vernell Brown IIIELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.42.7–15.1 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.8 | 4616–67 |
| Aaron Philobalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 8.11.1–15.4 | 12018–209 | 21-1–38 | — | — |
| Micah Mays Jr.ELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.12.7–13.3 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 3911–56 |
| Luke Harpringbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.02.0–11.3 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.0 | 329–48 |
| Bailey StocktonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.3–11.3 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.0 | 349–48 |
| Kahleil JacksonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.91.9–10.5 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 308–45 |
| Amir JacksonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 5.91.5–9.5 | — | — | — | — |
| TJ AbramsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.71.9–10.8 | — | — | 2.51.0–4.0 | 319–41 |
| Lacota DippreELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.9–11.1 | — | — | — | 318–46 |
Georgia
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gunner StocktonHIGH CEILING · Tier 3 | QB | 17.86.0–27.7 | 17677–245 | 293–56 | — | — |
| Nate FrazierVOLATILE · Tier 5 | RB | 14.25.1–21.6 | — | 6116–88 | — | — |
| Isiah Canionbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 9.53.0–14.7 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.6 | 3712–57 |
| Chauncey BowensSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 8.01.9–13.4 | — | 328–57 | — | — |
| Bo WalkerHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 8.02.1–13.6 | — | 335–53 | — | — |
| Lawson LuckieSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 8.12.3–12.9 | — | — | — | 309–44 |
| Dante DowdellVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.91.6–12.5 | — | 359–61 | — | — |
| London HumphreysHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 7.52.3–12.2 | — | — | — | 369–53 |
Florida
- Rush yds
- 82
- Receptions
- 2.2
- Rec yds
- 17
- Rush yds
- 61
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 52
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Rec yds
- 14
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 46
- Pass yds
- 120
- Rush yds
- 21
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 30
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 31
Georgia
- Pass yds
- 176
- Rush yds
- 29
- Rush yds
- 61
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rush yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rush yds
- 35
- Rec yds
- 36
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadan BaughRB · FLA | Rushing yards | 82.0 | 72.7 | 33.7–114.7 | Shop the line |
| Gunner StocktonQB · UGA | Passing yards | 175.8 | 182.2 | 76.7–245.0 | Shop the line |
| Nate FrazierRB · UGA | Rushing yards | 61.2 | 48.5 | 16.1–88.2 | Shop the line |
| London MontgomeryRB · FLA | Rushing yards | 61.2 | 54.1 | 16.8–91.5 | Shop the line |
| Eric Singleton Jr.WR · FLA | Receiving yards | 51.8 | 44.6 | 16.3–71.1 | Shop the line |
| Evan PryorRB · FLA | Rushing yards | 36.6 | 26.2 | 8.9–58.5 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 82.0
- Median
- 72.7
- 20th–80th
- 33.7–114.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 175.8
- Median
- 182.2
- 20th–80th
- 76.7–245.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 61.2
- Median
- 48.5
- 20th–80th
- 16.1–88.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 61.2
- Median
- 54.1
- 20th–80th
- 16.8–91.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 51.8
- Median
- 44.6
- 20th–80th
- 16.3–71.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 36.6
- Median
- 26.2
- 20th–80th
- 8.9–58.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated