Mississippi State Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Fri, Nov 27
- 12:00 PM EST
- Venue
- Ole Miss home
- Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 22 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Mississippi State visits Ole Miss in Week 13.
Mississippi State travels to Ole Miss at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 22 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Trinidad Chambliss (MISS), Kamario Taylor (MSST), and Kewan Lacy (MISS).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
22 player distributions are available, led by Trinidad Chambliss (MISS).
Venue context
Ole Miss is the designated home team at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:31+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:31+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Mississippi State pass protection vs Ole Miss pass rush
Mississippi State's pass protection graded 65.8 in 2025 (70th of 136); Ole Miss's pass rush graded 64.7 (76th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Ole Miss pass protection vs Mississippi State pass rush
Ole Miss's pass protection graded 70.5 in 2025 (32nd of 136); Mississippi State's pass rush graded 60.8 (124th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Ole Miss's pass protection.
Mississippi State receiving corps vs Ole Miss coverage
Mississippi State's receiving corps graded 62.4 in 2025 (103rd of 136); Ole Miss's coverage graded 64.7 (66th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Ole Miss's coverage.
Ole Miss receiving corps vs Mississippi State coverage
Ole Miss's receiving corps graded 71.0 in 2025 (7th of 136); Mississippi State's coverage graded 62.6 (86th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Ole Miss's receiving corps.
Mississippi State rush offense vs Ole Miss run defense
Mississippi State's rush offense graded 75.6 in 2025 (64th of 136); Ole Miss's run defense graded 70.2 (33rd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Ole Miss's run defense.
Ole Miss rush offense vs Mississippi State run defense
Ole Miss's rush offense graded 83.7 in 2025 (5th of 136); Mississippi State's run defense graded 61.8 (126th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Ole Miss's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Mississippi State
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamario TaylorHIGH CEILING · Tier 3 | QB | 22.26.3–30.3 | 17787–238 | 6316–94 | — | — |
| Anthony Evans IIIbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 13.84.8–21.3 | — | — | 4.41.1–6.7 | 5520–85 |
| AJ SwannVOLATILE · Tier 6 | QB | 9.72.7–20.9 | 17688–240 | — | — | — |
| Jaden RashadaELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 10.22.5–19.1 | 14349–231 | — | — | — |
| Fluff BothwellELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 11.14.0–16.5 | — | 4815–79 | — | — |
| Marquis JohnsonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.62.6–13.7 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.0 | 3911–56 |
| Sam WestHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 5.91.4–10.2 | — | — | — | — |
| Sanfrisco Mageebalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 5.71.7–9.7 | — | — | — | 267–40 |
Ole Miss
14 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinidad Chamblissbalanced · Tier 3 | QB | 20.39.2–28.4 | 212136–282 | 322–50 | — | — |
| Kewan LacyELITE · Tier 3 | RB | 18.18.5–24.6 | — | 9235–119 | 1.80.9–3.5 | — |
| Maealiuaki SmithVOLATILE · Tier 6 | QB | 9.02.0–19.6 | 14442–243 | — | — | — |
| Traylon RayHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 10.33.2–15.5 | — | — | 3.21.0–4.8 | 5015–66 |
| Deuce AlexanderVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.32.8–14.6 | — | — | 3.11.1–4.5 | 4513–64 |
| Horatio FieldsELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.23.2–14.5 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.4 | 4112–60 |
| Luke Haszbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 9.12.9–14.2 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.9 | 3913–61 |
| Johntay Cook IIVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.32.5–11.9 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.8 | 4011–59 |
| Darrell Gill Jr.balanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.72.6–14.5 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.8 | 3711–55 |
| Makhi FrazierELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.52.5–13.9 | — | 4112–66 | — | — |
| Caleb OdomVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.12.2–10.8 | — | — | — | 309–46 |
| Cameron MillerSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.62.1–10.3 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 318–46 |
| Isaiah SpencerELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.8–10.7 | — | — | — | 308–44 |
| Michael SmithVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.7–10.3 | — | — | — | — |
Mississippi State
- Pass yds
- 177
- Rush yds
- 63
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 55
- Pass yds
- 176
- Pass yds
- 143
- Rush yds
- 48
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 39
- Rec yds
- 26
Ole Miss
- Pass yds
- 212
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rush yds
- 92
- Receptions
- 1.8
- Pass yds
- 144
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 50
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 45
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 41
- Rec yds
- 30
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 30
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinidad ChamblissQB · MISS | Passing yards | 212.3 | 214.0 | 136.2–281.7 | Shop the line |
| Kamario TaylorQB · MSST | Passing yards | 176.6 | 182.4 | 87.0–237.9 | Shop the line |
| Kewan LacyRB · MISS | Rushing yards | 91.9 | 77.8 | 34.7–119.4 | Shop the line |
| Anthony Evans IIIWR · MSST | Receiving yards | 55.4 | 42.5 | 19.5–85.1 | Shop the line |
| AJ SwannQB · MSST | Passing yards | 176.0 | 159.6 | 88.2–240.2 | Shop the line |
| Maealiuaki SmithQB · MISS | Passing yards | 143.6 | 154.9 | 41.8–242.9 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 212.3
- Median
- 214.0
- 20th–80th
- 136.2–281.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 176.6
- Median
- 182.4
- 20th–80th
- 87.0–237.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 91.9
- Median
- 77.8
- 20th–80th
- 34.7–119.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 55.4
- Median
- 42.5
- 20th–80th
- 19.5–85.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 176.0
- Median
- 159.6
- 20th–80th
- 88.2–240.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 143.6
- Median
- 154.9
- 20th–80th
- 41.8–242.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated