Oregon Ducks at Oklahoma State Cowboys college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 12
- 12:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Oklahoma State home
- Boone Pickens Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 24 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Oregon visits Oklahoma State in Week 2.
Oregon travels to Oklahoma State at Boone Pickens Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 24 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Drew Mestemaker (OKST), Dante Moore (ORE), and Caleb Hawkins (OKST).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
24 player distributions are available, led by Drew Mestemaker (OKST).
Venue context
Oklahoma State is the designated home team at Boone Pickens Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Oregon pass protection vs Oklahoma State pass rush
Oregon's pass protection graded 79.1 in 2025 (2nd of 136); Oklahoma State's pass rush graded 61.8 (113th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oregon's pass protection.
Oklahoma State pass protection vs Oregon pass rush
Oklahoma State's pass protection graded 69.7 in 2025 (39th of 136); Oregon's pass rush graded 70.9 (9th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Oregon's pass rush.
Oregon receiving corps vs Oklahoma State coverage
Oregon's receiving corps graded 68.1 in 2025 (20th of 136); Oklahoma State's coverage graded 57.9 (125th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oregon's receiving corps.
Oklahoma State receiving corps vs Oregon coverage
Oklahoma State's receiving corps graded 59.4 in 2025 (131st of 136); Oregon's coverage graded 72.0 (7th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oregon's coverage.
Oregon rush offense vs Oklahoma State run defense
Oregon's rush offense graded 83.0 in 2025 (9th of 136); Oklahoma State's run defense graded 65.7 (83rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oregon's rush offense.
Oklahoma State rush offense vs Oregon run defense
Oklahoma State's rush offense graded 68.8 in 2025 (127th of 136); Oregon's run defense graded 70.6 (30th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Oregon's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Oregon
11 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante MooreVOLATILE · Tier 3 | QB | 15.15.6–24.0 | 191129–267 | — | — | — |
| Iverson HooksELITE · Tier 3 | WR | 14.84.6–21.6 | — | — | 4.51.0–6.9 | 5820–85 |
| Dakorien MooreHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 10.43.5–17.4 | — | — | 3.71.1–5.5 | 5015–70 |
| Jordon DavisonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 10.43.1–18.5 | — | 4012–64 | — | — |
| Dylan RaiolaELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 11.42.7–19.6 | 16460–226 | — | — | — |
| Evan StewartELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.03.7–16.5 | — | — | 4.11.0–6.1 | 4613–63 |
| Jeremiah McClellanVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.12.8–14.1 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.6 | 4113–58 |
| Jamari JohnsonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | TE | 8.52.8–12.9 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.8 | 4013–58 |
| Simeon Pricebalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.21.9–13.1 | — | 306–51 | — | — |
| Dierre Hill Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.61.8–12.2 | — | 326–52 | 1.60.0–3.1 | 140–20 |
| Brock Thomasbalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 6.60.9–12.0 | — | — | — | — |
Oklahoma State
13 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew MestemakerHIGH CEILING · Tier 3 | QB | 18.46.8–27.0 | 217147–287 | — | — | — |
| Caleb HawkinsELITE · Tier 5 | RB | 17.16.1–23.0 | — | 7233–106 | — | 180–27 |
| Wyatt YoungELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 13.94.4–21.1 | — | — | 4.31.0–6.6 | 6224–91 |
| Grant Jordanbalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 11.52.7–21.7 | 13916–239 | 25-2–50 | — | — |
| Israel Polkbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 10.93.9–18.0 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.0 | 5314–71 |
| Miles ColemanSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 10.43.8–16.1 | — | — | 3.41.0–5.6 | 4614–67 |
| Rodney Harris IIELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.53.2–14.2 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.2 | 4715–68 |
| Donovan GreenVOLATILE · Tier 5 | TE | 8.92.7–13.9 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.9 | 3711–54 |
| Chris BarnesHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 8.73.0–14.5 | — | 13-0–24 | 3.21.0–5.3 | 409–58 |
| Ayo AdeyiHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 8.81.5–14.0 | — | 409–65 | — | — |
| Terrence Lewisbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.51.8–10.7 | — | — | — | 277–38 |
| Oscar HammondSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | TE | 6.51.9–10.2 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 298–34 |
| Justin BowickSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.72.0–10.6 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.0 | 349–50 |
Oregon
- Pass yds
- 191
- Receptions
- 4.5
- Rec yds
- 58
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 50
- Rush yds
- 40
- Pass yds
- 164
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 46
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 40
- Rush yds
- 30
- Rush yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 1.6
- Rec yds
- 14
Oklahoma State
- Pass yds
- 217
- Rush yds
- 72
- Rec yds
- 18
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 62
- Pass yds
- 139
- Rush yds
- 25
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 53
- Receptions
- 3.4
- Rec yds
- 46
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 47
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 13
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 40
- Rush yds
- 40
- Rec yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 29
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 34
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew MestemakerQB · OKST | Passing yards | 216.8 | 211.6 | 147.3–286.5 | Shop the line |
| Dante MooreQB · ORE | Passing yards | 190.9 | 213.3 | 128.6–266.8 | Shop the line |
| Caleb HawkinsRB · OKST | Rushing yards | 71.5 | 60.4 | 32.7–105.7 | Shop the line |
| Iverson HooksWR · ORE | Receiving yards | 57.6 | 45.2 | 19.7–85.4 | Shop the line |
| Wyatt YoungWR · OKST | Receiving yards | 62.2 | 44.5 | 24.0–90.9 | Shop the line |
| Grant JordanQB · OKST | Passing yards | 138.7 | 176.2 | 16.1–238.7 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 216.8
- Median
- 211.6
- 20th–80th
- 147.3–286.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 190.9
- Median
- 213.3
- 20th–80th
- 128.6–266.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 71.5
- Median
- 60.4
- 20th–80th
- 32.7–105.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 57.6
- Median
- 45.2
- 20th–80th
- 19.7–85.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 62.2
- Median
- 44.5
- 20th–80th
- 24.0–90.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 138.7
- Median
- 176.2
- 20th–80th
- 16.1–238.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated