Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Arizona State Sun Devils college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 10
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Arizona State home
- Mountain America Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 17 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Hawai'i visits Arizona State in Week 6.
Hawai'i travels to Arizona State at Mountain America Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 17 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Mikey Keene (ASU), Micah Alejado (HAW), and Cutter Boley (ASU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
17 player distributions are available, led by Mikey Keene (ASU).
Venue context
Arizona State is the designated home team at Mountain America Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:05+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:05+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Hawai'i pass protection vs Arizona State pass rush
Hawai'i's pass protection graded 59.8 in 2025 (107th of 136); Arizona State's pass rush graded 60.1 (132nd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Hawai'i's pass protection.
Arizona State pass protection vs Hawai'i pass rush
Arizona State's pass protection graded 69.9 in 2025 (36th of 136); Hawai'i's pass rush graded 71.1 (8th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Hawai'i's pass rush.
Hawai'i receiving corps vs Arizona State coverage
Hawai'i's receiving corps graded 63.0 in 2025 (90th of 136); Arizona State's coverage graded 67.6 (31st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Arizona State's coverage.
Arizona State receiving corps vs Hawai'i coverage
Arizona State's receiving corps graded 60.4 in 2025 (119th of 136); Hawai'i's coverage graded 65.1 (62nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Hawai'i's coverage.
Hawai'i rush offense vs Arizona State run defense
Hawai'i's rush offense graded 72.5 in 2025 (100th of 136); Arizona State's run defense graded 71.4 (25th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Arizona State's run defense.
Arizona State rush offense vs Hawai'i run defense
Arizona State's rush offense graded 78.2 in 2025 (39th of 136); Hawai'i's run defense graded 62.6 (120th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Arizona State's rush offense. Arizona State's rush offense returns only 10.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Hawai'i
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah AlejadoSAFE FLOOR · Tier 3 | QB | 17.36.8–26.2 | 207140–281 | — | — | — |
| Pofele AshlockHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 14.14.5–21.4 | — | — | 4.41.0–6.3 | 5818–84 |
| Cam BarfieldSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 12.94.4–20.2 | — | 4715–68 | 2.10.9–3.4 | 150–24 |
| Tama UiliataHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 7.11.8–11.8 | — | — | — | — |
| Audric Harrisbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.6–10.4 | — | — | — | 277–34 |
| Devon Tauaefabalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.71.8–10.6 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.6 | 298–37 |
| Carson BrownELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.9–10.3 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 297–42 |
| DeVon RiceVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.11.0–10.5 | — | — | — | — |
Arizona State
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey KeeneSAFE FLOOR · Tier 3 | QB | 13.95.7–23.6 | 211125–272 | — | — | — |
| Cutter Boleybalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 15.03.5–24.2 | 20076–260 | — | — | — |
| Omarion MillerSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 13.74.5–21.1 | — | — | 4.11.0–6.2 | 5621–85 |
| Reed HarrisELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.73.7–18.0 | — | — | 3.61.0–5.2 | 5215–77 |
| Derek EusebioELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.33.1–14.7 | — | — | 3.01.0–5.0 | 3912–61 |
| Jalen MossELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.02.7–12.1 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.4 | 4110–55 |
| Jaren HamiltonELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.42.1–12.8 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | 3611–57 |
| Jason Brown Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 5.91.2–10.2 | — | 264–47 | — | — |
| Anthony Millerbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.11.6–9.7 | — | — | — | — |
Hawai'i
- Pass yds
- 207
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 58
- Rush yds
- 47
- Receptions
- 2.1
- Rec yds
- 15
- Rec yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 29
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 29
Arizona State
- Pass yds
- 211
- Pass yds
- 200
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 56
- Receptions
- 3.6
- Rec yds
- 52
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 36
- Rush yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey KeeneQB · ASU | Passing yards | 210.7 | 233.4 | 124.7–271.5 | Shop the line |
| Micah AlejadoQB · HAW | Passing yards | 207.1 | 217.1 | 139.7–280.6 | Shop the line |
| Cutter BoleyQB · ASU | Passing yards | 199.5 | 202.6 | 76.3–259.7 | Shop the line |
| Omarion MillerWR · ASU | Receiving yards | 55.8 | 43.7 | 20.6–84.5 | Shop the line |
| Pofele AshlockWR · HAW | Receiving yards | 57.5 | 44.1 | 17.9–83.8 | Shop the line |
| Cam BarfieldRB · HAW | Rushing yards | 47.2 | 39.9 | 14.6–68.3 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 210.7
- Median
- 233.4
- 20th–80th
- 124.7–271.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 207.1
- Median
- 217.1
- 20th–80th
- 139.7–280.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 199.5
- Median
- 202.6
- 20th–80th
- 76.3–259.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 55.8
- Median
- 43.7
- 20th–80th
- 20.6–84.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 57.5
- Median
- 44.1
- 20th–80th
- 17.9–83.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 47.2
- Median
- 39.9
- 20th–80th
- 14.6–68.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated