Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 24
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Kansas home
- David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 19 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Baylor visits Kansas in Week 8.
Baylor travels to Kansas at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 19 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to DJ Lagway (BAY), Chase Jenkins (KU), and Nik McMillan (KU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
19 player distributions are available, led by DJ Lagway (BAY).
Venue context
Kansas is the designated home team at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Baylor pass protection vs Kansas pass rush
Baylor's pass protection graded 65.2 in 2025 (76th of 136); Kansas's pass rush graded 66.3 (57th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Kansas's pass rush.
Kansas pass protection vs Baylor pass rush
Kansas's pass protection graded 64.0 in 2025 (86th of 136); Baylor's pass rush graded 61.2 (121st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Kansas's pass protection.
Baylor receiving corps vs Kansas coverage
Baylor's receiving corps graded 65.8 in 2025 (53rd of 136); Kansas's coverage graded 65.4 (56th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Kansas receiving corps vs Baylor coverage
Kansas's receiving corps graded 63.2 in 2025 (87th of 136); Baylor's coverage graded 66.6 (41st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Baylor's coverage.
Baylor rush offense vs Kansas run defense
Baylor's rush offense graded 73.1 in 2025 (91st of 136); Kansas's run defense graded 64.2 (109th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Baylor's rush offense.
Kansas rush offense vs Baylor run defense
Kansas's rush offense graded 77.5 in 2025 (49th of 136); Baylor's run defense graded 63.5 (113th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Kansas's rush offense. Kansas's rush offense returns only 10.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Baylor
10 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ LagwayVOLATILE · Tier 5 | QB | 14.94.8–23.7 | 18680–242 | 26-1–43 | — | — |
| Gavin Freemanbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 12.44.2–19.9 | — | — | 4.31.1–6.4 | 5317–76 |
| Dawson Pendergrassbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 10.94.0–19.7 | — | 5316–85 | — | — |
| Louis Brown IVELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.23.2–14.8 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.1 | 5015–69 |
| Michael Turnerbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.22.1–13.1 | — | 4112–68 | — | — |
| Dre'lon MillerHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 7.62.2–13.1 | — | — | 2.30.1–3.3 | 284–45 |
| Caden KnightenELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.22.1–12.8 | — | 4012–69 | — | — |
| Jadon Porterbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.51.9–10.5 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 288–41 |
| Matthew KlopfensteinVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.71.7–10.8 | — | — | — | 289–38 |
| Tony LivingstonELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.71.9–10.7 | — | — | — | 318–42 |
Kansas
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase JenkinsELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 11.63.5–21.7 | — | 4010–75 | — | — |
| Nik McMillanELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 14.74.9–22.7 | — | — | 4.61.0–7.2 | 6826–94 |
| Cam Pickettbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 10.33.3–16.2 | — | — | 4.01.0–6.4 | 4714–63 |
| Jalen DupreeHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 10.02.7–15.6 | — | 4914–76 | — | — |
| Dylan EdwardsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 9.73.2–15.1 | — | 4210–63 | — | — |
| Yasin WillisSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 9.62.6–14.3 | — | 5115–82 | — | — |
| Nahzae CoxELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.22.7–12.4 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.9 | 3710–53 |
| Leyton CureSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 6.92.2–11.6 | — | — | — | 309–48 |
| Jailen ButlerHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.61.8–10.5 | — | — | — | — |
Baylor
- Pass yds
- 186
- Rush yds
- 26
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 53
- Rush yds
- 53
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 50
- Rush yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.3
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rush yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rec yds
- 31
Kansas
- Rush yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 4.6
- Rec yds
- 68
- Receptions
- 4.0
- Rec yds
- 47
- Rush yds
- 49
- Rush yds
- 42
- Rush yds
- 51
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rec yds
- 30
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ LagwayQB · BAY | Passing yards | 185.6 | 184.6 | 80.3–242.4 | Shop the line |
| Chase JenkinsQB · KU | Rushing yards | 40.4 | 41.1 | 10.0–74.8 | Shop the line |
| Nik McMillanWR · KU | Receiving yards | 67.9 | 48.2 | 26.3–94.4 | Shop the line |
| Gavin FreemanWR · BAY | Receiving yards | 52.5 | 41.2 | 16.5–75.7 | Shop the line |
| Dawson PendergrassRB · BAY | Rushing yards | 53.2 | 51.4 | 16.4–85.1 | Shop the line |
| Cam PickettWR · KU | Receiving yards | 46.8 | 35.6 | 14.2–63.2 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 185.6
- Median
- 184.6
- 20th–80th
- 80.3–242.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 40.4
- Median
- 41.1
- 20th–80th
- 10.0–74.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 67.9
- Median
- 48.2
- 20th–80th
- 26.3–94.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 52.5
- Median
- 41.2
- 20th–80th
- 16.5–75.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 53.2
- Median
- 51.4
- 20th–80th
- 16.4–85.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 46.8
- Median
- 35.6
- 20th–80th
- 14.2–63.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated