Kansas State Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 24
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Arizona State home
- Mountain America Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 19 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Kansas State visits Arizona State in Week 8.
Kansas State travels to Arizona State at Mountain America Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 19 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Mikey Keene (ASU), Joe Jackson (KSU), and Avery Johnson (KSU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
19 player distributions are available, led by Mikey Keene (ASU).
Venue context
Arizona State is the designated home team at Mountain America Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Kansas State pass protection vs Arizona State pass rush
Kansas State's pass protection graded 68.8 in 2025 (48th of 136); Arizona State's pass rush graded 60.1 (132nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Kansas State's pass protection.
Arizona State pass protection vs Kansas State pass rush
Arizona State's pass protection graded 69.9 in 2025 (36th of 136); Kansas State's pass rush graded 63.6 (89th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Arizona State's pass protection. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Kansas State receiving corps vs Arizona State coverage
Kansas State's receiving corps graded 63.1 in 2025 (88th of 136); Arizona State's coverage graded 67.6 (31st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Arizona State's coverage.
Arizona State receiving corps vs Kansas State coverage
Arizona State's receiving corps graded 60.4 in 2025 (119th of 136); Kansas State's coverage graded 64.2 (73rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Kansas State's coverage.
Kansas State rush offense vs Arizona State run defense
Kansas State's rush offense graded 70.3 in 2025 (116th of 136); Arizona State's run defense graded 71.4 (25th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Arizona State's run defense.
Arizona State rush offense vs Kansas State run defense
Arizona State's rush offense graded 78.2 in 2025 (39th of 136); Kansas State's run defense graded 67.0 (63rd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Arizona State's rush offense. Arizona State's rush offense returns only 10.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Kansas State
10 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe JacksonELITE · Tier 3 | RB | 17.27.3–24.6 | — | 7334–112 | — | — |
| Avery JohnsonELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 15.15.0–26.8 | 15677–231 | 377–62 | — | — |
| Rodney Fields Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 5 | RB | 14.35.1–22.9 | — | 6518–96 | 2.20.9–3.8 | 200–35 |
| Garrett OakleyELITE · Tier 1 | TE | 13.54.1–20.9 | — | — | 4.11.0–6.0 | 5117–74 |
| Jaron TibbsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 10.43.7–15.9 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.6 | 5016–71 |
| Josh Manningbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.12.2–11.4 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.0 | 349–49 |
| Brandon WhiteHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 7.82.6–12.1 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.8 | 3710–55 |
| Izaiah WilliamsELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.32.1–12.7 | — | — | 2.31.0–3.5 | 298–44 |
| Jay Harrisbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.41.2–11.1 | — | — | — | — |
| Sterling LockettSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.02.0–10.0 | — | — | — | 297–45 |
Arizona State
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey Keenebalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 13.95.7–23.6 | 211125–272 | — | — | — |
| Cutter Boleybalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 15.03.5–24.2 | 20076–260 | — | — | — |
| Omarion MillerSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 13.74.5–21.1 | — | — | 4.11.0–6.2 | 5621–85 |
| Reed HarrisSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 10.73.7–18.0 | — | — | 3.61.0–5.2 | 5215–77 |
| Derek EusebioELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.33.1–14.7 | — | — | 3.01.0–5.0 | 3912–61 |
| Jalen MossSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.02.7–12.1 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.4 | 4110–55 |
| Jaren HamiltonELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.42.1–12.8 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | 3611–57 |
| Jason Brown Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 5.91.2–10.2 | — | 264–47 | — | — |
| Anthony Millerbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.11.6–9.7 | — | — | — | — |
Kansas State
- Rush yds
- 73
- Pass yds
- 156
- Rush yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 65
- Receptions
- 2.2
- Rec yds
- 20
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 51
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 50
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 2.3
- Rec yds
- 29
- Rec yds
- 29
Arizona State
- Pass yds
- 211
- Pass yds
- 200
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 56
- Receptions
- 3.6
- Rec yds
- 52
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 36
- Rush yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey KeeneQB · ASU | Passing yards | 210.7 | 233.4 | 124.7–271.5 | Shop the line |
| Joe JacksonRB · KSU | Rushing yards | 73.3 | 67.6 | 34.4–112.4 | Shop the line |
| Avery JohnsonQB · KSU | Passing yards | 155.8 | 164.7 | 76.6–231.4 | Shop the line |
| Rodney Fields Jr.RB · KSU | Rushing yards | 64.7 | 58.8 | 17.8–95.9 | Shop the line |
| Cutter BoleyQB · ASU | Passing yards | 199.5 | 202.6 | 76.3–259.7 | Shop the line |
| Omarion MillerWR · ASU | Receiving yards | 55.8 | 43.7 | 20.6–84.5 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 210.7
- Median
- 233.4
- 20th–80th
- 124.7–271.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 73.3
- Median
- 67.6
- 20th–80th
- 34.4–112.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 155.8
- Median
- 164.7
- 20th–80th
- 76.6–231.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 64.7
- Median
- 58.8
- 20th–80th
- 17.8–95.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 199.5
- Median
- 202.6
- 20th–80th
- 76.3–259.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 55.8
- Median
- 43.7
- 20th–80th
- 20.6–84.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated