UCF Knights at Colorado Buffaloes college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 28
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Colorado home
- Folsom Field
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 22 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
UCF visits Colorado in Week 13.
UCF travels to Colorado at Folsom Field. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 22 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Keyone Jenkins (UCF), Alonza Barnett III (UCF), and Julian Lewis (COLO).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
22 player distributions are available, led by Keyone Jenkins (UCF).
Venue context
Colorado is the designated home team at Folsom Field.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:31+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:31+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
UCF pass protection vs Colorado pass rush
UCF's pass protection graded 69.0 in 2025 (47th of 136); Colorado's pass rush graded 65.6 (66th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for UCF's pass protection.
Colorado pass protection vs UCF pass rush
Colorado's pass protection graded 75.0 in 2025 (9th of 136); UCF's pass rush graded 68.7 (30th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Colorado's pass protection.
UCF receiving corps vs Colorado coverage
UCF's receiving corps graded 60.9 in 2025 (114th of 136); Colorado's coverage graded 58.1 (123rd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Colorado receiving corps vs UCF coverage
Colorado's receiving corps graded 60.0 in 2025 (124th of 136); UCF's coverage graded 68.3 (27th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for UCF's coverage.
UCF rush offense vs Colorado run defense
UCF's rush offense graded 75.1 in 2025 (71st of 136); Colorado's run defense graded 65.3 (89th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for UCF's rush offense. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Colorado rush offense vs UCF run defense
Colorado's rush offense graded 66.8 in 2025 (132nd of 136); UCF's run defense graded 70.3 (32nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for UCF's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
UCF
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyone JenkinsVOLATILE · Tier 3 | QB | 18.76.0–26.0 | 218132–275 | — | — | — |
| Alonza Barnett IIIELITE · Tier 3 | QB | 17.16.0–28.3 | 174100–232 | 315–66 | — | — |
| Dylan WadeELITE · Tier 1 | TE | 13.64.3–20.4 | — | — | 4.11.0–5.9 | 5518–82 |
| Duane Thomas Jr.HIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 10.93.5–17.5 | — | — | 4.01.1–6.2 | 5015–68 |
| Jonathan BibbsVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.32.6–13.7 | — | — | 3.01.1–4.6 | 4012–60 |
| Waden Charlesbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.92.8–14.6 | — | — | 3.21.0–5.0 | 3912–59 |
| Agyeman AddaeHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 7.81.8–14.1 | — | — | 2.00.8–3.6 | 190–25 |
| Duke WatsonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.11.7–11.8 | — | 346–54 | — | — |
| Caleb RollersonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 5.91.7–10.0 | — | — | — | 288–40 |
Colorado
13 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian LewisHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 12.64.1–21.4 | 14550–245 | — | — | — |
| Danny Scuderobalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 14.34.5–21.8 | — | — | 4.41.0–6.7 | 5619–89 |
| Kam Perrybalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 13.64.3–21.2 | — | — | 3.81.0–5.6 | 5516–84 |
| Joseph Williamsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 11.53.9–17.8 | — | — | 4.21.0–6.4 | 5517–78 |
| DeAndre Moore Jr.ELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.93.5–16.0 | — | — | 3.61.0–5.3 | 4914–69 |
| DeKalon TaylorELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.92.6–15.2 | — | 376–54 | 1.80.0–3.4 | 190–30 |
| Micah WelchSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 7.72.0–12.1 | — | 366–58 | — | — |
| Isaac Wilsonbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 7.91.5–15.1 | 12122–209 | — | — | — |
| Zach AtkinsHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 7.42.2–11.5 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.5 | 329–48 |
| Kaleb MathisELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.52.1–10.1 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.7 | 318–45 |
| Hykeem WilliamsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.72.0–10.6 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 318–46 |
| Quentin Gibsonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.62.1–10.9 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.8 | — |
| Richard Youngbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.3–10.9 | — | — | — | — |
UCF
- Pass yds
- 218
- Pass yds
- 174
- Rush yds
- 31
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 55
- Receptions
- 4.0
- Rec yds
- 50
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 40
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 2.0
- Rec yds
- 19
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 28
Colorado
- Pass yds
- 145
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 56
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 55
- Receptions
- 4.2
- Rec yds
- 55
- Receptions
- 3.6
- Rec yds
- 49
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 1.8
- Rec yds
- 19
- Rush yds
- 36
- Pass yds
- 121
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 31
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 31
- Receptions
- 2.5
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyone JenkinsQB · UCF | Passing yards | 217.9 | 210.5 | 132.3–274.5 | Shop the line |
| Alonza Barnett IIIQB · UCF | Passing yards | 173.5 | 186.6 | 100.2–232.0 | Shop the line |
| Julian LewisQB · COLO | Passing yards | 145.4 | 174.3 | 49.7–244.6 | Shop the line |
| Danny ScuderoWR · COLO | Receiving yards | 55.5 | 45.2 | 19.0–89.1 | Shop the line |
| Kam PerryWR · COLO | Receiving yards | 54.9 | 41.4 | 15.9–83.6 | Shop the line |
| Joseph WilliamsWR · COLO | Receiving yards | 55.1 | 41.7 | 16.9–77.7 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 217.9
- Median
- 210.5
- 20th–80th
- 132.3–274.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 173.5
- Median
- 186.6
- 20th–80th
- 100.2–232.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 145.4
- Median
- 174.3
- 20th–80th
- 49.7–244.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 55.5
- Median
- 45.2
- 20th–80th
- 19.0–89.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 54.9
- Median
- 41.4
- 20th–80th
- 15.9–83.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 55.1
- Median
- 41.7
- 20th–80th
- 16.9–77.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated