SMU Mustangs at Syracuse Orange college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 31
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Syracuse home
- JMA Wireless Dome
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 20 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
SMU visits Syracuse in Week 9.
SMU travels to Syracuse at JMA Wireless Dome. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 20 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Amari Odom (SYR), Kevin Jennings (SMU), and Kendrick Raphael (SMU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
20 player distributions are available, led by Amari Odom (SYR).
Venue context
Syracuse is the designated home team at JMA Wireless Dome.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
SMU pass protection vs Syracuse pass rush
SMU's pass protection graded 76.1 in 2025 (6th of 136); Syracuse's pass rush graded 63.5 (90th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for SMU's pass protection.
Syracuse pass protection vs SMU pass rush
Syracuse's pass protection graded 59.5 in 2025 (109th of 136); SMU's pass rush graded 68.0 (39th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for SMU's pass rush.
SMU receiving corps vs Syracuse coverage
SMU's receiving corps graded 65.6 in 2025 (57th of 136); Syracuse's coverage graded 62.6 (87th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for SMU's receiving corps.
Syracuse receiving corps vs SMU coverage
Syracuse's receiving corps graded 61.1 in 2025 (110th of 136); SMU's coverage graded 65.6 (53rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for SMU's coverage.
SMU rush offense vs Syracuse run defense
SMU's rush offense graded 74.1 in 2025 (83rd of 136); Syracuse's run defense graded 60.0 (133rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for SMU's rush offense.
Syracuse rush offense vs SMU run defense
Syracuse's rush offense graded 70.1 in 2025 (118th of 136); SMU's run defense graded 73.6 (12th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for SMU's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
SMU
11 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin JenningsVOLATILE · Tier 3 | QB | 18.16.9–26.4 | 221149–284 | — | — | — |
| Kendrick RaphaelELITE · Tier 3 | RB | 17.17.5–24.8 | — | 8025–111 | 3.10.9–5.1 | 170–30 |
| Yamir Knightbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 12.14.2–19.5 | — | — | 4.21.0–6.0 | 5617–82 |
| Yannick SmithVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.93.8–17.2 | — | — | 3.61.0–5.4 | 4916–72 |
| Randy PittmanVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 8.82.7–13.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Mabrey MettauerHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 8.91.2–17.7 | — | — | — | — |
| Derrick McFallbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.72.7–14.3 | — | 266–46 | — | — |
| Theo Melin OhrstromELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.32.3–11.2 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.0 | 3410–48 |
| Jalen Cooperbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.22.0–11.7 | — | — | — | 3311–49 |
| Jalen HaleSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.62.0–11.0 | — | — | — | 3111–50 |
| Dramekco GreenSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 5.81.5–10.7 | — | — | — | — |
Syracuse
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari OdomHIGH CEILING · Tier 3 | QB | 19.48.2–29.5 | 221137–276 | 332–52 | — | — |
| Steve Angelibalanced · Tier 3 | QB | 13.34.6–22.0 | 188108–269 | — | — | — |
| Cole WeaverVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.73.9–18.0 | — | — | 4.11.0–6.0 | 5417–87 |
| Joseph FilardiHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 9.91.7–18.9 | — | 271–52 | — | — |
| Malachi Nelsonbalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 8.41.8–17.3 | 14524–217 | — | — | — |
| Noah Meyersbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 8.22.5–12.8 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.4 | 3310–49 |
| Darien WilliamsHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.9–10.5 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.8 | — |
| Tyshawn RussellHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.41.8–10.7 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 307–42 |
| Tylik Hillbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.01.3–10.6 | — | 304–52 | — | — |
SMU
- Pass yds
- 221
- Rush yds
- 80
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 17
- Receptions
- 4.2
- Rec yds
- 56
- Receptions
- 3.6
- Rec yds
- 49
- Rush yds
- 26
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 31
Syracuse
- Pass yds
- 221
- Rush yds
- 33
- Pass yds
- 188
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 54
- Rush yds
- 27
- Pass yds
- 145
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 33
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rush yds
- 30
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari OdomQB · SYR | Passing yards | 220.9 | 218.0 | 137.0–276.4 | Shop the line |
| Kevin JenningsQB · SMU | Passing yards | 220.6 | 217.2 | 149.2–284.4 | Shop the line |
| Kendrick RaphaelRB · SMU | Rushing yards | 79.9 | 70.4 | 24.5–110.9 | Shop the line |
| Steve AngeliQB · SYR | Passing yards | 188.1 | 203.4 | 107.9–268.8 | Shop the line |
| Yamir KnightWR · SMU | Receiving yards | 56.0 | 43.7 | 16.9–82.1 | Shop the line |
| Cole WeaverWR · SYR | Receiving yards | 53.7 | 42.9 | 16.8–87.3 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 220.9
- Median
- 218.0
- 20th–80th
- 137.0–276.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 220.6
- Median
- 217.2
- 20th–80th
- 149.2–284.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 79.9
- Median
- 70.4
- 20th–80th
- 24.5–110.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 188.1
- Median
- 203.4
- 20th–80th
- 107.9–268.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 56.0
- Median
- 43.7
- 20th–80th
- 16.9–82.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 53.7
- Median
- 42.9
- 20th–80th
- 16.8–87.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated