Syracuse Orange at NC State Wolfpack college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 14
- Time TBA
- Venue
- NC State home
- Carter-Finley Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 18 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Syracuse visits NC State in Week 11.
Syracuse travels to NC State at Carter-Finley Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 18 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Amari Odom (SYR), CJ Bailey (NCSU), and Steve Angeli (SYR).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
18 player distributions are available, led by Amari Odom (SYR).
Venue context
NC State is the designated home team at Carter-Finley Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Syracuse pass protection vs NC State pass rush
Syracuse's pass protection graded 59.5 in 2025 (109th of 136); NC State's pass rush graded 65.5 (68th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for NC State's pass rush. NC State's pass rush returns only 21.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
NC State pass protection vs Syracuse pass rush
NC State's pass protection graded 67.2 in 2025 (60th of 136); Syracuse's pass rush graded 63.5 (90th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for NC State's pass protection.
Syracuse receiving corps vs NC State coverage
Syracuse's receiving corps graded 61.1 in 2025 (110th of 136); NC State's coverage graded 59.3 (116th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
NC State receiving corps vs Syracuse coverage
NC State's receiving corps graded 69.0 in 2025 (14th of 136); Syracuse's coverage graded 62.6 (87th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for NC State's receiving corps.
Syracuse rush offense vs NC State run defense
Syracuse's rush offense graded 70.1 in 2025 (118th of 136); NC State's run defense graded 65.9 (81st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for NC State's run defense.
NC State rush offense vs Syracuse run defense
NC State's rush offense graded 77.9 in 2025 (43rd of 136); Syracuse's run defense graded 60.0 (133rd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for NC State's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Syracuse
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari OdomHIGH CEILING · Tier 4 | QB | 19.68.2–29.5 | 221137–276 | 332–52 | — | — |
| Steve Angelibalanced · Tier 4 | QB | 13.54.6–22.0 | 188108–269 | — | — | — |
| Cole WeaverVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 10.73.8–18.0 | — | — | 4.11.0–6.0 | 5417–87 |
| Joseph FilardiHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 9.91.7–18.9 | — | 261–52 | — | — |
| Malachi Nelsonbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 8.41.8–17.3 | 14524–217 | — | — | — |
| Noah Meyersbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 8.22.5–12.8 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.4 | 3310–49 |
| Darien WilliamsHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.9–10.5 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.8 | — |
| Tyshawn RussellHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.41.8–10.7 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 307–42 |
| Tylik Hillbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.01.3–10.6 | — | 304–52 | — | — |
NC State
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ BaileySAFE FLOOR · Tier 4 | QB | 17.47.2–26.9 | 203106–252 | 280–50 | — | — |
| Victor SnowHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 14.04.4–21.5 | — | — | 4.41.1–6.5 | 5717–82 |
| Tad Hudsonbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 10.23.0–19.4 | 15222–244 | — | — | — |
| Will WilsonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 10.03.0–16.4 | — | 358–57 | — | — |
| Davion GauseELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.02.4–14.2 | — | 274–39 | 1.70.0–3.2 | 140–17 |
| Davion DozierELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.02.5–12.7 | — | — | — | 3712–54 |
| Jayden ScottSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 8.02.0–13.6 | — | — | — | 130–16 |
| Joshisa TraderSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.92.1–10.9 | — | — | — | 309–45 |
| Keenan JacksonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.71.9–10.6 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.6 | — |
Syracuse
- Pass yds
- 221
- Rush yds
- 33
- Pass yds
- 188
- Receptions
- 4.1
- Rec yds
- 54
- Rush yds
- 26
- Pass yds
- 145
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 33
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rush yds
- 30
NC State
- Pass yds
- 203
- Rush yds
- 28
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 57
- Pass yds
- 152
- Rush yds
- 35
- Rush yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 1.7
- Rec yds
- 14
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rec yds
- 13
- Rec yds
- 30
- Receptions
- 2.5
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari OdomQB · SYR | Passing yards | 220.9 | 218.0 | 137.0–276.4 | Shop the line |
| CJ BaileyQB · NCSU | Passing yards | 202.6 | 202.8 | 106.2–252.2 | Shop the line |
| Steve AngeliQB · SYR | Passing yards | 188.1 | 203.4 | 107.9–268.8 | Shop the line |
| Victor SnowWR · NCSU | Receiving yards | 56.5 | 45.3 | 17.1–81.9 | Shop the line |
| Cole WeaverWR · SYR | Receiving yards | 53.7 | 42.9 | 16.8–87.3 | Shop the line |
| Tad HudsonQB · NCSU | Passing yards | 151.8 | 162.8 | 21.7–243.6 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 220.9
- Median
- 218.0
- 20th–80th
- 137.0–276.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 202.6
- Median
- 202.8
- 20th–80th
- 106.2–252.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 188.1
- Median
- 203.4
- 20th–80th
- 107.9–268.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 56.5
- Median
- 45.3
- 20th–80th
- 17.1–81.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 53.7
- Median
- 42.9
- 20th–80th
- 16.8–87.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 151.8
- Median
- 162.8
- 20th–80th
- 21.7–243.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated