Iowa Hawkeyes at Northwestern Wildcats college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Northwestern home
- Ryan Field
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 19 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Iowa visits Northwestern in Week 10.
Iowa travels to Northwestern at Ryan Field. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 19 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Aidan Chiles (NU), Caleb Komolafe (NU), and Nicco Marchiol (NU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
19 player distributions are available, led by Aidan Chiles (NU).
Venue context
Northwestern is the designated home team at Ryan Field.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:20+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:20+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Iowa pass protection vs Northwestern pass rush
Iowa's pass protection graded 80.5 in 2025 (1st of 136); Northwestern's pass rush graded 68.0 (40th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Iowa's pass protection.
Northwestern pass protection vs Iowa pass rush
Northwestern's pass protection graded 75.4 in 2025 (8th of 136); Iowa's pass rush graded 74.3 (5th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Iowa receiving corps vs Northwestern coverage
Iowa's receiving corps graded 62.8 in 2025 (96th of 136); Northwestern's coverage graded 62.0 (97th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Northwestern receiving corps vs Iowa coverage
Northwestern's receiving corps graded 64.4 in 2025 (70th of 136); Iowa's coverage graded 68.3 (26th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Iowa's coverage.
Iowa rush offense vs Northwestern run defense
Iowa's rush offense graded 77.3 in 2025 (50th of 136); Northwestern's run defense graded 65.2 (90th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Iowa's rush offense.
Northwestern rush offense vs Iowa run defense
Northwestern's rush offense graded 76.3 in 2025 (58th of 136); Iowa's run defense graded 69.5 (43rd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Iowa's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Iowa
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari MoultonELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 12.34.7–20.2 | — | 6720–101 | — | — |
| DJ VonnahmeSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 9.83.5–15.4 | — | — | 3.21.0–5.3 | 4515–63 |
| Reece Vander ZeeVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.32.3–12.7 | — | — | — | 3910–57 |
| KJ Parkerbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 5.81.8–9.9 | — | — | — | — |
| Dayton Howardbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.8–10.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy HecklinskiSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 6.41.0–11.2 | — | — | — | — |
Northwestern
13 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan ChilesHIGH CEILING · Tier 4 | QB | 17.25.9–27.2 | 15971–236 | — | — | — |
| Caleb Komolafebalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 15.75.5–23.9 | — | 7025–103 | 1.80.9–3.3 | — |
| Nicco Marchiolbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 10.52.5–19.3 | 15150–236 | — | — | — |
| Griffin WildeVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.34.0–19.8 | — | — | 4.21.0–6.3 | 5317–80 |
| Hayden Eligon IIVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.24.1–17.2 | — | — | 3.91.0–5.7 | 5317–80 |
| Gavin Frakesbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 9.62.0–17.1 | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Honigbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.62.1–11.8 | — | — | — | 317–42 |
| Robby PreckelHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 8.32.5–12.7 | — | 388–68 | — | — |
| Joseph Himon IIbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 7.92.0–13.0 | — | 358–57 | — | — |
| Drew WagnerHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 7.42.2–12.1 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.0 | 369–55 |
| Frank Covey IVHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.81.8–11.0 | — | — | — | 288–40 |
| Mar'Kel PorterELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.61.7–11.4 | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky AhumaraezeSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.01.7–10.1 | — | — | — | 287–35 |
Iowa
- Rush yds
- 67
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 45
- Rec yds
- 39
Northwestern
- Pass yds
- 159
- Rush yds
- 70
- Receptions
- 1.8
- Pass yds
- 151
- Receptions
- 4.2
- Rec yds
- 53
- Receptions
- 3.9
- Rec yds
- 53
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rush yds
- 38
- Rush yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 36
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rec yds
- 28
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan ChilesQB · NU | Passing yards | 158.8 | 174.1 | 70.9–235.8 | Shop the line |
| Caleb KomolafeRB · NU | Rushing yards | 70.3 | 60.0 | 24.7–102.7 | Shop the line |
| Nicco MarchiolQB · NU | Passing yards | 150.7 | 171.1 | 49.9–236.0 | Shop the line |
| Kamari MoultonRB · IOWA | Rushing yards | 67.0 | 60.1 | 20.3–101.1 | Shop the line |
| Griffin WildeWR · NU | Receiving yards | 52.7 | 45.0 | 16.6–80.3 | Shop the line |
| Hayden Eligon IIWR · NU | Receiving yards | 52.7 | 41.6 | 17.1–80.0 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 158.8
- Median
- 174.1
- 20th–80th
- 70.9–235.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 70.3
- Median
- 60.0
- 20th–80th
- 24.7–102.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 150.7
- Median
- 171.1
- 20th–80th
- 49.9–236.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 67.0
- Median
- 60.1
- 20th–80th
- 20.3–101.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 52.7
- Median
- 45.0
- 20th–80th
- 16.6–80.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 52.7
- Median
- 41.6
- 20th–80th
- 17.1–80.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated