Illinois Fighting Illini at Northwestern Wildcats college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 28
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Northwestern home
- Ryan Field
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 21 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Illinois visits Northwestern in Week 13.
Illinois travels to Northwestern at Ryan Field. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 21 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Katin Houser (ILL), Aidan Chiles (NU), and Alex Perry (ILL).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
21 player distributions are available, led by Katin Houser (ILL).
Venue context
Northwestern is the designated home team at Ryan Field.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:31+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:31+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Illinois pass protection vs Northwestern pass rush
Illinois's pass protection graded 64.4 in 2025 (83rd of 136); Northwestern's pass rush graded 68.0 (40th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Northwestern's pass rush.
Northwestern pass protection vs Illinois pass rush
Northwestern's pass protection graded 75.4 in 2025 (8th of 136); Illinois's pass rush graded 67.8 (43rd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Northwestern's pass protection.
Illinois receiving corps vs Northwestern coverage
Illinois's receiving corps graded 68.8 in 2025 (16th of 136); Northwestern's coverage graded 62.0 (97th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Illinois's receiving corps.
Northwestern receiving corps vs Illinois coverage
Northwestern's receiving corps graded 64.4 in 2025 (70th of 136); Illinois's coverage graded 63.0 (80th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Illinois rush offense vs Northwestern run defense
Illinois's rush offense graded 73.8 in 2025 (88th of 136); Northwestern's run defense graded 65.2 (90th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Northwestern rush offense vs Illinois run defense
Northwestern's rush offense graded 76.3 in 2025 (58th of 136); Illinois's run defense graded 68.8 (45th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Illinois
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katin Houserbalanced · Tier 3 | QB | 20.78.9–28.9 | 211142–276 | 29-0–49 | — | — |
| Alex PerryELITE · Tier 3 | WR | 15.65.7–22.5 | — | — | 4.31.0–6.1 | 6325–84 |
| Jayshon PlattELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.83.7–19.8 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.1 | 4914–74 |
| Hudson ClementSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 9.73.7–15.4 | — | — | 3.41.0–5.1 | 5015–68 |
| Ca'Lil Valentinebalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 10.02.6–14.5 | — | 4412–71 | — | — |
| Kaden Feaginbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 9.63.1–14.9 | — | 346–57 | — | 150–20 |
| Collin DixonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 8.82.8–13.9 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.3 | 4112–59 |
| Aidan Laugherybalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 8.22.3–12.7 | — | 347–56 | — | — |
Northwestern
13 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan ChilesHIGH CEILING · Tier 3 | QB | 17.25.9–27.2 | 15971–236 | — | — | — |
| Caleb Komolafebalanced · Tier 5 | RB | 15.75.5–23.9 | — | 7025–103 | 1.80.9–3.3 | — |
| Nicco Marchiolbalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 10.52.5–19.3 | 15150–236 | — | — | — |
| Griffin WildeVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.34.0–19.8 | — | — | 4.21.0–6.3 | 5317–80 |
| Hayden Eligon IIVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.24.1–17.2 | — | — | 3.91.0–5.7 | 5317–80 |
| Gavin Frakesbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 9.62.0–17.1 | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Honigbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.62.1–11.8 | — | — | — | 317–42 |
| Robby PreckelHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 8.32.5–12.7 | — | 388–68 | — | — |
| Joseph Himon IIELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.92.0–13.0 | — | 358–57 | — | — |
| Drew WagnerHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 7.42.2–12.1 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.0 | 369–55 |
| Frank Covey IVHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.81.8–11.0 | — | — | — | 288–40 |
| Mar'Kel PorterELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.61.7–11.4 | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky AhumaraezeSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.01.7–10.1 | — | — | — | 287–35 |
Illinois
- Pass yds
- 211
- Rush yds
- 29
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 63
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 49
- Receptions
- 3.4
- Rec yds
- 50
- Rush yds
- 44
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 15
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 41
- Rush yds
- 34
Northwestern
- Pass yds
- 159
- Rush yds
- 70
- Receptions
- 1.8
- Pass yds
- 151
- Receptions
- 4.2
- Rec yds
- 53
- Receptions
- 3.9
- Rec yds
- 53
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rush yds
- 38
- Rush yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 36
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rec yds
- 28
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katin HouserQB · ILL | Passing yards | 211.1 | 210.0 | 142.2–275.6 | Shop the line |
| Aidan ChilesQB · NU | Passing yards | 158.8 | 174.1 | 70.9–235.8 | Shop the line |
| Alex PerryWR · ILL | Receiving yards | 62.5 | 48.9 | 25.3–83.6 | Shop the line |
| Caleb KomolafeRB · NU | Rushing yards | 70.3 | 60.0 | 24.7–102.7 | Shop the line |
| Nicco MarchiolQB · NU | Passing yards | 150.7 | 171.1 | 49.9–236.0 | Shop the line |
| Griffin WildeWR · NU | Receiving yards | 52.7 | 45.0 | 16.6–80.3 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 211.1
- Median
- 210.0
- 20th–80th
- 142.2–275.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 158.8
- Median
- 174.1
- 20th–80th
- 70.9–235.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 62.5
- Median
- 48.9
- 20th–80th
- 25.3–83.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 70.3
- Median
- 60.0
- 20th–80th
- 24.7–102.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 150.7
- Median
- 171.1
- 20th–80th
- 49.9–236.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 52.7
- Median
- 45.0
- 20th–80th
- 16.6–80.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated