Florida International Panthers at South Florida Bulls college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 5
- 7:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- South Florida home
- Raymond James Stadium
- Captured market
- USF -12.5
- DraftKings · Aug 11, 10:09 PM EDT
- Player model
- 14 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
South Florida carries the early number into Raymond James Stadium.
Florida International travels to South Florida at Raymond James Stadium. The captured market lists South Florida as a 12.5-point favorite. That number came from DraftKings and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 14 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Michael Van Buren Jr. (USF), Kenny Odom (USF), and JJ Kohl (FIU).
Market frame
South Florida is the captured favorite by 12.5; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
14 player distributions are available, led by Michael Van Buren Jr. (USF).
Venue context
South Florida is the designated home team at Raymond James Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00DraftKings snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:09:50ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Florida International pass protection vs South Florida pass rush
Florida International's pass protection graded 62.5 in 2025 (93rd of 136); South Florida's pass rush graded 69.7 (18th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for South Florida's pass rush. South Florida's pass rush returns only 19.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
South Florida pass protection vs Florida International pass rush
South Florida's pass protection graded 70.9 in 2025 (28th of 136); Florida International's pass rush graded 62.9 (98th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for South Florida's pass protection. South Florida's pass protection returns only 22.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Florida International receiving corps vs South Florida coverage
Florida International's receiving corps graded 65.8 in 2025 (51st of 136); South Florida's coverage graded 65.1 (63rd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
South Florida receiving corps vs Florida International coverage
South Florida's receiving corps graded 66.2 in 2025 (38th of 136); Florida International's coverage graded 70.6 (15th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Florida International's coverage.
Florida International rush offense vs South Florida run defense
Florida International's rush offense graded 74.4 in 2025 (80th of 136); South Florida's run defense graded 65.0 (95th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Florida International's rush offense.
South Florida rush offense vs Florida International run defense
South Florida's rush offense graded 78.8 in 2025 (34th of 136); Florida International's run defense graded 62.5 (121st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for South Florida's rush offense. South Florida's rush offense returns only 19.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Florida International
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ KohlVOLATILE · Tier 6 | QB | 12.33.0–21.4 | 17375–246 | — | — | — |
| Anthony CarrieVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.11.7–11.5 | — | 315–54 | — | — |
| Sterling JosephHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 6.91.6–13.8 | — | 297–55 | — | — |
| Kyle McNealELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 7.12.3–10.3 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.8 | 369–58 |
| Maguire AndersonHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 6.42.1–10.2 | — | — | — | 328–52 |
| Eric Nelson Jr.ELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 5.41.6–9.5 | — | — | — | 267–36 |
South Florida
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Van Buren Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | QB | 12.93.8–21.7 | 14365–256 | 271–51 | — | — |
| Kenny Odombalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 13.04.3–20.9 | — | — | 4.41.1–6.7 | 5017–80 |
| Mudia ReubenHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 13.84.5–20.6 | — | — | 3.81.0–5.2 | 5519–85 |
| Jaden AlexisVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 8.72.6–13.8 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 3310–53 |
| Wyatt SullivanSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | TE | 7.52.4–10.8 | — | — | — | 308–53 |
| Luke KromenhoekELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 8.70.9–13.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Bryson RodgersVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 6.71.8–10.9 | — | — | — | 277–40 |
| JeyQuan SmithHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 6.61.7–10.4 | — | — | — | 287–39 |
Florida International
- Pass yds
- 173
- Rush yds
- 31
- Rush yds
- 29
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 36
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 26
South Florida
- Pass yds
- 143
- Rush yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 50
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 55
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 28
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Van Buren Jr.QB · USF | Passing yards | 143.4 | 196.4 | 64.8–255.9 | Shop the line |
| Kenny OdomWR · USF | Receiving yards | 49.8 | 44.8 | 16.7–79.9 | Shop the line |
| JJ KohlQB · FIU | Passing yards | 173.0 | 175.4 | 74.6–245.7 | Shop the line |
| Mudia ReubenWR · USF | Receiving yards | 55.4 | 41.8 | 18.9–84.5 | Shop the line |
| Jaden AlexisWR · USF | Receiving yards | 32.6 | 25.2 | 9.8–53.0 | Shop the line |
| Wyatt SullivanTE · USF | Receiving yards | 30.2 | 23.2 | 8.4–52.8 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 143.4
- Median
- 196.4
- 20th–80th
- 64.8–255.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 49.8
- Median
- 44.8
- 20th–80th
- 16.7–79.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 173.0
- Median
- 175.4
- 20th–80th
- 74.6–245.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 55.4
- Median
- 41.8
- 20th–80th
- 18.9–84.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 32.6
- Median
- 25.2
- 20th–80th
- 9.8–53.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 30.2
- Median
- 23.2
- 20th–80th
- 8.4–52.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated