South Florida Bulls at Army Black Knights college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 12
- 12:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Army home
- Michie Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 12 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
South Florida visits Army in Week 2.
South Florida travels to Army at Michie Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 12 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Cale Hellums (ARMY), Kenny Odom (USF), and Michael Van Buren Jr. (USF).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
12 player distributions are available, led by Cale Hellums (ARMY).
Venue context
Army is the designated home team at Michie Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:58+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
South Florida pass protection vs Army pass rush
South Florida's pass protection graded 70.9 in 2025 (28th of 136); Army's pass rush graded 61.7 (117th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for South Florida's pass protection. South Florida's pass protection returns only 22.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Army pass protection vs South Florida pass rush
Army's pass protection graded 60.2 in 2025 (104th of 136); South Florida's pass rush graded 69.7 (18th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for South Florida's pass rush. South Florida's pass rush returns only 19.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
South Florida receiving corps vs Army coverage
South Florida's receiving corps graded 66.2 in 2025 (38th of 136); Army's coverage graded 60.3 (109th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for South Florida's receiving corps.
Army receiving corps vs South Florida coverage
Army's receiving corps graded 66.2 in 2025 (41st of 136); South Florida's coverage graded 65.1 (63rd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Army's receiving corps.
South Florida rush offense vs Army run defense
South Florida's rush offense graded 78.8 in 2025 (34th of 136); Army's run defense graded 64.3 (107th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for South Florida's rush offense. South Florida's rush offense returns only 19.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Army rush offense vs South Florida run defense
Army's rush offense graded 69.7 in 2025 (121st of 136); South Florida's run defense graded 65.0 (95th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for South Florida's run defense. South Florida's run defense returns only 18.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
South Florida
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Odombalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 12.24.3–20.9 | — | — | 4.41.1–6.6 | 4917–76 |
| Michael Van Buren Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 5 | QB | 11.53.5–21.3 | 13754–236 | 26-2–48 | — | — |
| Mudia Reubenbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 13.44.3–20.4 | — | — | 3.81.0–5.2 | 5519–80 |
| Jaden AlexisELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.32.5–13.8 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 3310–48 |
| Wyatt SullivanSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | TE | 7.02.3–10.8 | — | — | — | 308–48 |
| Luke KromenhoekSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | QB | 7.90.9–13.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Bryson Rodgersbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.41.7–10.9 | — | — | — | 277–35 |
| JeyQuan SmithELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.7–10.4 | — | — | — | 287–33 |
Army
4 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cale HellumsELITE · Tier 3 | QB | 18.47.0–27.9 | — | 8534–119 | — | — |
| Brady Andersonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 8.72.6–13.7 | — | — | — | 4414–72 |
| Parker PoloskeySAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | TE | 7.32.1–10.7 | — | — | — | 3610–57 |
| Jake RendinaHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 6.91.1–10.9 | — | 304–49 | — | — |
South Florida
- Receptions
- 4.4
- Rec yds
- 49
- Pass yds
- 137
- Rush yds
- 26
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 55
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 28
Army
- Rush yds
- 85
- Rec yds
- 44
- Rec yds
- 36
- Rush yds
- 30
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cale HellumsQB · ARMY | Rushing yards | 85.2 | 70.1 | 33.7–118.5 | Shop the line |
| Kenny OdomWR · USF | Receiving yards | 48.6 | 42.8 | 16.5–75.6 | Shop the line |
| Michael Van Buren Jr.QB · USF | Passing yards | 137.3 | 171.0 | 54.2–236.0 | Shop the line |
| Mudia ReubenWR · USF | Receiving yards | 54.8 | 41.6 | 18.8–79.7 | Shop the line |
| Brady AndersonWR · ARMY | Receiving yards | 44.4 | 35.5 | 13.8–72.0 | Shop the line |
| Jaden AlexisWR · USF | Receiving yards | 32.8 | 24.4 | 9.5–48.3 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 85.2
- Median
- 70.1
- 20th–80th
- 33.7–118.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 48.6
- Median
- 42.8
- 20th–80th
- 16.5–75.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 137.3
- Median
- 171.0
- 20th–80th
- 54.2–236.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 54.8
- Median
- 41.6
- 20th–80th
- 18.8–79.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 44.4
- Median
- 35.5
- 20th–80th
- 13.8–72.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 32.8
- Median
- 24.4
- 20th–80th
- 9.5–48.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated