East Carolina Pirates at Old Dominion Monarchs college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 19
- 6:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- Old Dominion home
- S.B. Ballard Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 15 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
East Carolina visits Old Dominion in Week 3.
East Carolina travels to Old Dominion at S.B. Ballard Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 15 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Devin Roche (ODU), Jaxon Potter (ODU), and Michael Allen (ECU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
15 player distributions are available, led by Devin Roche (ODU).
Venue context
Old Dominion is the designated home team at S.B. Ballard Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:00+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
East Carolina pass protection vs Old Dominion pass rush
East Carolina's pass protection graded 61.6 in 2025 (98th of 136); Old Dominion's pass rush graded 63.6 (88th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Old Dominion pass protection vs East Carolina pass rush
Old Dominion's pass protection graded 69.6 in 2025 (42nd of 136); East Carolina's pass rush graded 63.5 (91st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Old Dominion's pass protection. Old Dominion's pass protection returns only 7.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
East Carolina receiving corps vs Old Dominion coverage
East Carolina's receiving corps graded 65.9 in 2025 (49th of 136); Old Dominion's coverage graded 71.4 (10th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Old Dominion's coverage.
Old Dominion receiving corps vs East Carolina coverage
Old Dominion's receiving corps graded 67.4 in 2025 (22nd of 136); East Carolina's coverage graded 61.1 (105th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Old Dominion's receiving corps. Old Dominion's receiving corps returns only 15.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
East Carolina rush offense vs Old Dominion run defense
East Carolina's rush offense graded 75.4 in 2025 (67th of 136); Old Dominion's run defense graded 67.6 (59th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Old Dominion rush offense vs East Carolina run defense
Old Dominion's rush offense graded 75.0 in 2025 (73rd of 136); East Carolina's run defense graded 66.4 (77th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
East Carolina
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael AllenVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 10.72.6–18.2 | — | 4110–65 | — | — |
| Brock SpaldingELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.02.7–14.4 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.9 | 3711–59 |
| Ashton GrayVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.71.8–12.8 | — | 336–52 | — | — |
| Mitch GriffisSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | QB | 8.01.3–13.5 | 12215–202 | — | — | — |
| Kanen Hamlettbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.32.2–11.9 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 289–41 |
| TJ Engleman Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.71.4–11.2 | — | 348–58 | — | — |
| Landon SidesHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.82.1–10.8 | — | — | — | 318–45 |
| Ray Ray Joseph Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 5.91.9–9.8 | — | — | — | 277–42 |
| Kyler Pearsonbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 5.61.1–9.9 | — | — | — | — |
Old Dominion
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin RocheVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 13.74.4–21.2 | — | 6622–99 | — | — |
| Jaxon Potterbalanced · Tier 5 | QB | 9.72.1–19.3 | 15654–241 | — | — | — |
| Maurki JamesVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.61.4–11.1 | — | — | — | — |
| TJ JohnsonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.8–9.9 | — | — | — | 278–42 |
| Sidney MbanasorELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.52.0–10.0 | — | — | — | 328–49 |
| Leon Haughton Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.31.5–10.0 | — | — | — | — |
East Carolina
- Rush yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 33
- Pass yds
- 122
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 27
Old Dominion
- Rush yds
- 66
- Pass yds
- 156
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 32
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin RocheRB · ODU | Rushing yards | 66.3 | 54.3 | 22.0–99.1 | Shop the line |
| Jaxon PotterQB · ODU | Passing yards | 156.2 | 179.1 | 53.7–240.6 | Shop the line |
| Michael AllenRB · ECU | Rushing yards | 40.9 | 38.1 | 9.5–64.5 | Shop the line |
| Brock SpaldingWR · ECU | Receiving yards | 37.3 | 31.0 | 11.3–59.1 | Shop the line |
| Ashton GrayRB · ECU | Rushing yards | 32.8 | 25.9 | 5.6–52.1 | Shop the line |
| Mitch GriffisQB · ECU | Passing yards | 122.3 | 136.3 | 15.3–201.9 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 66.3
- Median
- 54.3
- 20th–80th
- 22.0–99.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 156.2
- Median
- 179.1
- 20th–80th
- 53.7–240.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 40.9
- Median
- 38.1
- 20th–80th
- 9.5–64.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.3
- Median
- 31.0
- 20th–80th
- 11.3–59.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 32.8
- Median
- 25.9
- 20th–80th
- 5.6–52.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 122.3
- Median
- 136.3
- 20th–80th
- 15.3–201.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated