East Carolina Pirates at Memphis Tigers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Thu, Oct 22
- 7:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Memphis home
- Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 16 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
East Carolina visits Memphis in Week 8.
East Carolina travels to Memphis at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 16 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Michael Allen (ECU), Dallan Hayden (MEM), and Brock Spalding (ECU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
16 player distributions are available, led by Michael Allen (ECU).
Venue context
Memphis is the designated home team at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
East Carolina pass protection vs Memphis pass rush
East Carolina's pass protection graded 61.6 in 2025 (98th of 136); Memphis's pass rush graded 61.8 (116th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for East Carolina's pass protection. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Memphis pass protection vs East Carolina pass rush
Memphis's pass protection graded 70.4 in 2025 (33rd of 136); East Carolina's pass rush graded 63.5 (91st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Memphis's pass protection. Memphis's pass protection returns only 18.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
East Carolina receiving corps vs Memphis coverage
East Carolina's receiving corps graded 65.9 in 2025 (49th of 136); Memphis's coverage graded 60.1 (113th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for East Carolina's receiving corps. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Memphis receiving corps vs East Carolina coverage
Memphis's receiving corps graded 66.4 in 2025 (35th of 136); East Carolina's coverage graded 61.1 (105th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Memphis's receiving corps. Memphis's receiving corps returns only 11.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
East Carolina rush offense vs Memphis run defense
East Carolina's rush offense graded 75.4 in 2025 (67th of 136); Memphis's run defense graded 73.8 (11th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Memphis's run defense. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Memphis rush offense vs East Carolina run defense
Memphis's rush offense graded 78.0 in 2025 (40th of 136); East Carolina's run defense graded 66.4 (77th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Memphis's rush offense. Memphis's rush offense returns only 0.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
East Carolina
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael AllenELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 10.72.6–18.2 | — | 4110–65 | — | — |
| Brock SpaldingELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.02.7–14.4 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.9 | 3711–59 |
| Ashton GrayVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.71.8–12.8 | — | 336–52 | — | — |
| Mitch GriffisSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 8.01.3–13.5 | 12215–202 | — | — | — |
| Kanen Hamlettbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.32.2–11.9 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 289–41 |
| TJ Engleman Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.71.4–11.2 | — | 348–58 | — | — |
| Landon Sidesbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.82.1–10.8 | — | — | — | 318–45 |
| Ray Ray Joseph Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 5.91.9–9.8 | — | — | — | 277–42 |
| Kyler Pearsonbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 5.61.1–9.9 | — | — | — | — |
Memphis
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallan Haydenbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 9.52.8–14.4 | — | 4212–72 | — | — |
| Jaylin CarterHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 9.32.6–14.8 | — | — | 2.10.0–3.6 | 150–24 |
| Hunter TiptonELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 8.42.8–13.2 | — | — | 3.21.0–5.0 | 3913–59 |
| Brady KluseVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.82.4–12.1 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | 339–48 |
| Tychaun ChapmanELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.73.0–14.1 | — | — | 3.21.0–4.6 | 4213–58 |
| Terrell Timmons Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.41.8–10.0 | — | — | — | 298–41 |
| Manny CoveySAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.4–10.9 | — | — | — | 160–20 |
East Carolina
- Rush yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rush yds
- 33
- Pass yds
- 122
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 28
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 27
Memphis
- Rush yds
- 42
- Receptions
- 2.1
- Rec yds
- 15
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 33
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 42
- Rec yds
- 29
- Rec yds
- 16
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael AllenRB · ECU | Rushing yards | 40.9 | 38.1 | 9.5–64.5 | Shop the line |
| Dallan HaydenRB · MEM | Rushing yards | 42.2 | 39.8 | 12.2–72.3 | Shop the line |
| Brock SpaldingWR · ECU | Receiving yards | 37.3 | 31.0 | 11.3–59.1 | Shop the line |
| Jaylin CarterRB · MEM | Receiving yards | 14.5 | 10.9 | 0.0–23.9 | Shop the line |
| Hunter TiptonTE · MEM | Receiving yards | 38.9 | 30.9 | 13.1–58.7 | Shop the line |
| Brady KluseWR · MEM | Receiving yards | 32.5 | 24.1 | 8.8–48.0 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 40.9
- Median
- 38.1
- 20th–80th
- 9.5–64.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 42.2
- Median
- 39.8
- 20th–80th
- 12.2–72.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.3
- Median
- 31.0
- 20th–80th
- 11.3–59.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 14.5
- Median
- 10.9
- 20th–80th
- 0.0–23.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 38.9
- Median
- 30.9
- 20th–80th
- 13.1–58.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 32.5
- Median
- 24.1
- 20th–80th
- 8.8–48.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated