Navy Midshipmen at Army Black Knights college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Dec 12
- 3:00 PM EST
- Venue
- Neutral site
- MetLife Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 6 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Army and Navy open on a neutral stage.
Army and Navy meet on a neutral stage at MetLife Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 6 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Cale Hellums (ARMY), Braxton Woodson (NAVY), and Luke Hutchison (NAVY).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
6 player distributions are available, led by Cale Hellums (ARMY).
Neutral-site context
MetLife Stadium removes the standard home-field assumption.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:33+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:33+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Navy pass protection vs Army pass rush
Navy's pass protection graded 59.6 in 2025 (108th of 136); Army's pass rush graded 61.7 (117th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Army pass protection vs Navy pass rush
Army's pass protection graded 60.2 in 2025 (104th of 136); Navy's pass rush graded 68.1 (37th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Navy's pass rush.
Navy receiving corps vs Army coverage
Navy's receiving corps graded 67.2 in 2025 (26th of 136); Army's coverage graded 60.3 (109th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Navy's receiving corps.
Army receiving corps vs Navy coverage
Army's receiving corps graded 66.2 in 2025 (41st of 136); Navy's coverage graded 57.6 (127th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Army's receiving corps.
Navy rush offense vs Army run defense
Navy's rush offense graded 78.0 in 2025 (41st of 136); Army's run defense graded 64.3 (107th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Navy's rush offense. Navy's rush offense returns only 14.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Army rush offense vs Navy run defense
Army's rush offense graded 69.7 in 2025 (121st of 136); Navy's run defense graded 64.6 (105th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Navy's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Navy
2 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Woodsonbalanced · Tier 1 | QB | 15.84.2–24.4 | — | 5512–84 | — | — |
| Luke HutchisonHIGH CEILING · Tier 1 | WR | 8.72.6–13.8 | — | — | — | 3710–56 |
Army
4 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cale HellumsELITE · Tier 1 | QB | 18.47.0–27.9 | — | 8534–119 | — | — |
| Brady AndersonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 1 | WR | 8.72.6–13.7 | — | — | — | 4414–72 |
| Parker PoloskeyELITE · Tier 1 | TE | 7.32.1–10.7 | — | — | — | 3610–57 |
| Jake RendinaELITE · Tier 1 | RB | 6.91.1–10.9 | — | 304–49 | — | — |
Navy
- Rush yds
- 55
- Rec yds
- 37
Army
- Rush yds
- 85
- Rec yds
- 44
- Rec yds
- 36
- Rush yds
- 30
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cale HellumsQB · ARMY | Rushing yards | 85.2 | 70.1 | 33.7–118.5 | Shop the line |
| Braxton WoodsonQB · NAVY | Rushing yards | 55.2 | 45.9 | 12.4–84.1 | Shop the line |
| Luke HutchisonWR · NAVY | Receiving yards | 37.4 | 27.4 | 10.4–56.2 | Shop the line |
| Brady AndersonWR · ARMY | Receiving yards | 44.4 | 35.5 | 13.8–72.0 | Shop the line |
| Parker PoloskeyTE · ARMY | Receiving yards | 36.0 | 28.2 | 9.9–57.3 | Shop the line |
| Jake RendinaRB · ARMY | Rushing yards | 30.2 | 20.9 | 4.0–48.6 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 85.2
- Median
- 70.1
- 20th–80th
- 33.7–118.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 55.2
- Median
- 45.9
- 20th–80th
- 12.4–84.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.4
- Median
- 27.4
- 20th–80th
- 10.4–56.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 44.4
- Median
- 35.5
- 20th–80th
- 13.8–72.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 36.0
- Median
- 28.2
- 20th–80th
- 9.9–57.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 30.2
- Median
- 20.9
- 20th–80th
- 4.0–48.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated