Northern Illinois Huskies at Georgia State Panthers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 26
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Georgia State home
- Center Parc Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 15 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Northern Illinois visits Georgia State in Week 4.
Northern Illinois travels to Georgia State at Center Parc Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 15 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Cameran Brown (GAST), Jalen Macon (NIU), and Rickey Taylor Jr. (NIU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
15 player distributions are available, led by Cameran Brown (GAST).
Venue context
Georgia State is the designated home team at Center Parc Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:02+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:02+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Northern Illinois pass protection vs Georgia State pass rush
Northern Illinois's pass protection graded 58.6 in 2025 (115th of 136); Georgia State's pass rush graded 63.4 (92nd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Georgia State's pass rush.
Georgia State pass protection vs Northern Illinois pass rush
Georgia State's pass protection graded 52.2 in 2025 (130th of 136); Northern Illinois's pass rush graded 63.0 (96th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Northern Illinois's pass rush. Northern Illinois's pass rush returns only 16.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Northern Illinois receiving corps vs Georgia State coverage
Northern Illinois's receiving corps graded 58.4 in 2025 (132nd of 136); Georgia State's coverage graded 60.3 (107th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Georgia State's coverage. Georgia State's coverage returns only 24.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Georgia State receiving corps vs Northern Illinois coverage
Georgia State's receiving corps graded 62.6 in 2025 (98th of 136); Northern Illinois's coverage graded 62.3 (94th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Northern Illinois rush offense vs Georgia State run defense
Northern Illinois's rush offense graded 77.7 in 2025 (47th of 136); Georgia State's run defense graded 64.8 (99th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Northern Illinois's rush offense.
Georgia State rush offense vs Northern Illinois run defense
Georgia State's rush offense graded 68.2 in 2025 (129th of 136); Northern Illinois's run defense graded 66.5 (76th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Northern Illinois's run defense. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Northern Illinois
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen MaconELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 13.03.2–23.1 | — | 448–74 | — | — |
| Rickey Taylor Jr.ELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 9.53.1–15.0 | — | — | 3.11.0–5.1 | 4614–70 |
| Cam ThompsonELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 9.33.2–14.3 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.3 | 4715–67 |
| DeAree RogersVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 8.22.6–12.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Brady DavidsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 8.21.1–17.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Telly Johnson Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 8.62.5–13.9 | — | 4011–66 | — | — |
| Elijah PorterVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.11.3–11.1 | — | — | — | 120–14 |
| George DimopoulosHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 6.91.9–11.2 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.7 | — |
Georgia State
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameran Brownbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 13.73.1–23.0 | 15776–232 | 343–53 | — | — |
| Grant HollierELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 8.92.9–13.9 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.7 | 3410–51 |
| DJ RilesVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 8.82.4–12.9 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.8 | 3611–49 |
| Dennis Murray Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 7.12.2–11.4 | — | — | 2.60.1–3.9 | 276–36 |
| Derrick Avery Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | WR | 5.91.5–9.5 | — | — | — | 267–36 |
| Jaylin Marshallbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 5.81.7–9.4 | — | — | — | 257–34 |
| Kyle WashingtonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 5.81.7–9.7 | — | — | — | 267–35 |
Northern Illinois
- Rush yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 46
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 47
- Rush yds
- 40
- Rec yds
- 12
- Receptions
- 2.6
Georgia State
- Pass yds
- 157
- Rush yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 26
- Rec yds
- 25
- Rec yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameran BrownQB · GAST | Passing yards | 157.2 | 166.1 | 76.0–232.2 | Shop the line |
| Jalen MaconQB · NIU | Rushing yards | 44.0 | 33.9 | 7.9–73.9 | Shop the line |
| Rickey Taylor Jr.WR · NIU | Receiving yards | 45.5 | 37.9 | 14.4–70.3 | Shop the line |
| Cam ThompsonWR · NIU | Receiving yards | 47.0 | 36.5 | 14.5–67.3 | Shop the line |
| Grant HollierTE · GAST | Receiving yards | 33.6 | 27.2 | 10.1–51.3 | Shop the line |
| DJ RilesWR · GAST | Receiving yards | 36.4 | 28.6 | 10.8–49.3 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 157.2
- Median
- 166.1
- 20th–80th
- 76.0–232.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 44.0
- Median
- 33.9
- 20th–80th
- 7.9–73.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 45.5
- Median
- 37.9
- 20th–80th
- 14.4–70.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 47.0
- Median
- 36.5
- 20th–80th
- 14.5–67.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 33.6
- Median
- 27.2
- 20th–80th
- 10.1–51.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 36.4
- Median
- 28.6
- 20th–80th
- 10.8–49.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated