UTEP Miners at North Dakota State Bison college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 31
- 3:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- North Dakota State home
- Fargodome
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 8 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
UTEP visits North Dakota State in Week 9.
UTEP travels to North Dakota State at Fargodome. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 8 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Kam Thomas (UTEP), Jaden Smith (UTEP), and EJ Colson Jr. (UTEP).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
8 player distributions are available, led by Kam Thomas (UTEP).
Venue context
North Dakota State is the designated home team at Fargodome.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
UTEP
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam ThomasELITE · Tier 5 | RB | 12.94.2–19.9 | — | — | 3.41.0–5.3 | 368–61 |
| Jaden Smithbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 9.83.2–16.3 | — | — | 3.91.0–6.2 | 4116–67 |
| EJ Colson Jr.HIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | QB | 9.31.5–17.9 | — | — | — | — |
| Tavorus JonesSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 6.31.3–10.8 | — | 264–44 | — | — |
| Jaylan BrownSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.9–10.2 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.8 | 277–37 |
| Judah EzinwaSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 5.71.8–9.4 | — | — | — | 267–38 |
North Dakota State
2 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah PattersonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.9–10.6 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | — |
| Jordan McCantsHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.61.9–10.8 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 328–47 |
UTEP
- Receptions
- 3.4
- Rec yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 3.9
- Rec yds
- 41
- Rush yds
- 26
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 26
North Dakota State
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam ThomasRB · UTEP | Receiving yards | 35.7 | 26.1 | 7.8–61.2 | Shop the line |
| Jaden SmithWR · UTEP | Receiving yards | 40.9 | 37.6 | 15.8–67.3 | Shop the line |
| Tavorus JonesRB · UTEP | Rushing yards | 26.3 | 19.1 | 4.3–44.0 | Shop the line |
| Jeremiah PattersonWR · NDSU | Receptions | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0–3.9 | Shop the line |
| Jordan McCantsWR · NDSU | Receiving yards | 31.8 | 22.1 | 7.6–46.9 | Shop the line |
| Jaylan BrownWR · UTEP | Receiving yards | 27.4 | 19.4 | 7.2–36.5 | Shop the line |
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 35.7
- Median
- 26.1
- 20th–80th
- 7.8–61.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 40.9
- Median
- 37.6
- 20th–80th
- 15.8–67.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 26.3
- Median
- 19.1
- 20th–80th
- 4.3–44.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receptions
- Projection
- 2.5
- Median
- 1.5
- 20th–80th
- 1.0–3.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 31.8
- Median
- 22.1
- 20th–80th
- 7.6–46.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 27.4
- Median
- 19.4
- 20th–80th
- 7.2–36.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated