Nevada Wolf Pack at Northern Illinois Huskies college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 14
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Northern Illinois home
- Huskie Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 14 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Nevada visits Northern Illinois in Week 11.
Nevada travels to Northern Illinois at Huskie Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 14 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Jalen Macon (NIU), Carter Jones (NEV), and Luke Duncan (NEV).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
14 player distributions are available, led by Jalen Macon (NIU).
Venue context
Northern Illinois is the designated home team at Huskie Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Nevada pass protection vs Northern Illinois pass rush
Nevada's pass protection graded 63.7 in 2025 (87th of 136); Northern Illinois's pass rush graded 63.0 (96th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Northern Illinois pass protection vs Nevada pass rush
Northern Illinois's pass protection graded 58.6 in 2025 (115th of 136); Nevada's pass rush graded 70.3 (13th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Nevada's pass rush.
Nevada receiving corps vs Northern Illinois coverage
Nevada's receiving corps graded 60.3 in 2025 (121st of 136); Northern Illinois's coverage graded 62.3 (94th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Northern Illinois's coverage. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Northern Illinois receiving corps vs Nevada coverage
Northern Illinois's receiving corps graded 58.4 in 2025 (132nd of 136); Nevada's coverage graded 66.0 (46th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Nevada's coverage. Nevada's coverage returns only 23.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Nevada rush offense vs Northern Illinois run defense
Nevada's rush offense graded 69.5 in 2025 (122nd of 136); Northern Illinois's run defense graded 66.5 (76th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Northern Illinois's run defense. Northern Illinois's run defense returns only 12.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Northern Illinois rush offense vs Nevada run defense
Northern Illinois's rush offense graded 77.7 in 2025 (47th of 136); Nevada's run defense graded 68.6 (46th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Nevada
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter JonesVOLATILE · Tier 6 | QB | 9.91.9–18.8 | 14431–232 | — | — | — |
| Luke Duncanbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 9.82.1–16.6 | 14934–235 | — | — | — |
| Gary Givens IIISAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 7.22.0–10.8 | — | — | — | 3410–48 |
| Herschel TurnerELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.5–10.9 | — | 327–54 | — | — |
| Dominic Kelleybalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.0–10.8 | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden O'RourkeSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 5.81.8–9.7 | — | — | — | 267–40 |
Northern Illinois
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen MaconELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 12.83.2–23.1 | — | 448–74 | — | — |
| Rickey Taylor Jr.balanced · Tier 5 | WR | 9.53.1–15.0 | — | — | 3.11.0–5.1 | 4614–70 |
| Cam ThompsonELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.33.2–14.3 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.3 | 4715–67 |
| DeAree RogersVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.22.6–12.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Brady DavidsonHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 8.21.1–17.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Telly Johnson Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 8.62.5–13.9 | — | 4011–66 | — | — |
| Elijah PorterVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.11.3–11.1 | — | — | — | 120–14 |
| George DimopoulosHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 6.91.9–11.2 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.7 | — |
Nevada
- Pass yds
- 144
- Pass yds
- 149
- Rec yds
- 34
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 26
Northern Illinois
- Rush yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 46
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 47
- Rush yds
- 40
- Rec yds
- 12
- Receptions
- 2.6
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen MaconQB · NIU | Rushing yards | 43.5 | 33.9 | 7.9–73.9 | Shop the line |
| Carter JonesQB · NEV | Passing yards | 143.9 | 167.9 | 30.8–232.1 | Shop the line |
| Luke DuncanQB · NEV | Passing yards | 149.1 | 167.0 | 34.0–235.1 | Shop the line |
| Rickey Taylor Jr.WR · NIU | Receiving yards | 45.5 | 37.9 | 14.4–70.3 | Shop the line |
| Cam ThompsonWR · NIU | Receiving yards | 47.0 | 36.5 | 14.5–67.3 | Shop the line |
| Telly Johnson Jr.RB · NIU | Rushing yards | 40.3 | 33.1 | 11.1–65.6 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 43.5
- Median
- 33.9
- 20th–80th
- 7.9–73.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 143.9
- Median
- 167.9
- 20th–80th
- 30.8–232.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 149.1
- Median
- 167.0
- 20th–80th
- 34.0–235.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 45.5
- Median
- 37.9
- 20th–80th
- 14.4–70.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 47.0
- Median
- 36.5
- 20th–80th
- 14.5–67.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 40.3
- Median
- 33.1
- 20th–80th
- 11.1–65.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated