South Alabama Jaguars at Kentucky Wildcats college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 26
- 12:45 PM EDT
- Venue
- Kentucky home
- Kroger Field
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 15 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
South Alabama visits Kentucky in Week 4.
South Alabama travels to Kentucky at Kroger Field. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 15 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Bishop Davenport (USA), Keenan Phillips (USA), and Anthony Eager (USA).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
15 player distributions are available, led by Bishop Davenport (USA).
Venue context
Kentucky is the designated home team at Kroger Field.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:02+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:02+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
South Alabama pass protection vs Kentucky pass rush
South Alabama's pass protection graded 64.8 in 2025 (80th of 136); Kentucky's pass rush graded 69.7 (19th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Kentucky's pass rush.
Kentucky pass protection vs South Alabama pass rush
Kentucky's pass protection graded 68.1 in 2025 (52nd of 136); South Alabama's pass rush graded 61.3 (120th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Kentucky's pass protection. Kentucky's pass protection returns only 4.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
South Alabama receiving corps vs Kentucky coverage
South Alabama's receiving corps graded 64.2 in 2025 (76th of 136); Kentucky's coverage graded 60.2 (111th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for South Alabama's receiving corps.
Kentucky receiving corps vs South Alabama coverage
Kentucky's receiving corps graded 62.6 in 2025 (99th of 136); South Alabama's coverage graded 64.3 (72nd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for South Alabama's coverage.
South Alabama rush offense vs Kentucky run defense
South Alabama's rush offense graded 85.3 in 2025 (1st of 136); Kentucky's run defense graded 71.7 (20th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for South Alabama's rush offense.
Kentucky rush offense vs South Alabama run defense
Kentucky's rush offense graded 74.5 in 2025 (77th of 136); South Alabama's run defense graded 61.2 (131st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Kentucky's rush offense. Kentucky's rush offense returns only 16.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
South Alabama
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop DavenportELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 16.14.7–25.9 | 15994–237 | 272–57 | — | — |
| Keenan Phillipsbalanced · Tier 5 | RB | 9.93.5–17.1 | — | 4512–69 | — | — |
| Anthony EagerVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 9.22.8–14.3 | — | — | 3.31.1–5.3 | 4312–62 |
| Brendan Jenkinsbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 7.02.2–11.4 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 329–49 |
| PJ MartinHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 8.01.7–13.5 | — | 349–57 | — | — |
| Micah WoodsELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 6.31.9–10.5 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.7 | 287–40 |
| Rod GibbsHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.01.7–10.0 | — | — | — | — |
Kentucky
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Daisybalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 8.62.6–13.9 | — | — | 3.21.0–4.9 | 3811–59 |
| Kenny MincheyELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 8.21.1–16.8 | — | 21-0–33 | — | — |
| Jason PattersonELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.52.5–13.9 | — | — | — | — |
| Jovantae BarnesELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.21.6–13.4 | — | — | — | — |
| Willie RodriguezHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 7.22.4–11.1 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.0 | 349–51 |
| Hardley Gilmore IVELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 7.12.2–11.2 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.1 | 339–48 |
| CJ BaxterELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.91.8–11.1 | — | — | — | — |
| Henry Boyerbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.11.6–9.9 | — | — | — | 266–33 |
South Alabama
- Pass yds
- 159
- Rush yds
- 27
- Rush yds
- 45
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rush yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 28
Kentucky
- Receptions
- 3.2
- Rec yds
- 38
- Rush yds
- 21
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop DavenportQB · USA | Passing yards | 159.2 | 172.4 | 93.6–236.7 | Shop the line |
| Keenan PhillipsRB · USA | Rushing yards | 45.4 | 46.7 | 11.9–69.0 | Shop the line |
| Anthony EagerWR · USA | Receiving yards | 42.8 | 30.1 | 12.3–62.1 | Shop the line |
| Xavier DaisyWR · UK | Receiving yards | 37.5 | 30.6 | 11.4–59.4 | Shop the line |
| Kenny MincheyQB · UK | Rushing yards | 21.1 | 10.1 | -0.1–33.1 | Shop the line |
| Brendan JenkinsWR · USA | Receiving yards | 32.0 | 23.4 | 8.9–49.2 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 159.2
- Median
- 172.4
- 20th–80th
- 93.6–236.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 45.4
- Median
- 46.7
- 20th–80th
- 11.9–69.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 42.8
- Median
- 30.1
- 20th–80th
- 12.3–62.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.5
- Median
- 30.6
- 20th–80th
- 11.4–59.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 21.1
- Median
- 10.1
- 20th–80th
- -0.1–33.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 32.0
- Median
- 23.4
- 20th–80th
- 8.9–49.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated