Massachusetts Minutemen at Sacramento State Hornets college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 26
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Sacramento State home
- Hornet Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 7 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Massachusetts visits Sacramento State in Week 4.
Massachusetts travels to Sacramento State at Hornet Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 7 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to T.Y. Harding (MASS), Max Dowling (MASS), and Kezion Dia-Johnson (MASS).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
7 player distributions are available, led by T.Y. Harding (MASS).
Venue context
Sacramento State is the designated home team at Hornet Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:02+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:02+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
Massachusetts
Sacramento State
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Massachusetts
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Y. Hardingbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 7.72.4–12.2 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.1 | 3510–52 |
| Max DowlingVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.62.2–11.9 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.8 | — |
| Kezion Dia-Johnsonbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 7.02.2–11.5 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.7 | 339–49 |
| Reece AdkinsVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.31.9–10.6 | — | — | — | 288–40 |
| Elijah PedroVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 5.81.4–9.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Andersonbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 5.91.5–9.7 | — | — | — | — |
Sacramento State
1 League projection| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Williamsbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.21.9–10.5 | — | — | — | 278–42 |
Massachusetts
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 28
Sacramento State
- Rec yds
- 27
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Y. HardingWR · MASS | Receiving yards | 34.9 | 26.3 | 9.8–52.1 | Shop the line |
| Max DowlingTE · MASS | Receptions | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.0–3.8 | Shop the line |
| Kezion Dia-JohnsonWR · MASS | Receiving yards | 33.2 | 23.4 | 9.4–49.4 | Shop the line |
| Reece AdkinsTE · MASS | Receiving yards | 28.4 | 20.9 | 7.7–40.3 | Shop the line |
| Jordan WilliamsTE · SAC | Receiving yards | 26.7 | 20.7 | 7.7–41.8 | Shop the line |
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 34.9
- Median
- 26.3
- 20th–80th
- 9.8–52.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receptions
- Projection
- 2.6
- Median
- 2.1
- 20th–80th
- 1.0–3.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 33.2
- Median
- 23.4
- 20th–80th
- 9.4–49.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 28.4
- Median
- 20.9
- 20th–80th
- 7.7–40.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 26.7
- Median
- 20.7
- 20th–80th
- 7.7–41.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated

