Arkansas State Red Wolves at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 14
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Coastal Carolina home
- Brooks Stadium (SC)
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 14 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Arkansas State visits Coastal Carolina in Week 11.
Arkansas State travels to Coastal Carolina at Brooks Stadium (SC). No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 14 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Deuce Bailey (CCU), Kenyon Clay (ARST), and Clayton Coppock Jr. (CCU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
14 player distributions are available, led by Deuce Bailey (CCU).
Venue context
Coastal Carolina is the designated home team at Brooks Stadium (SC).
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Arkansas State pass protection vs Coastal Carolina pass rush
Arkansas State's pass protection graded 70.0 in 2025 (35th of 136); Coastal Carolina's pass rush graded 69.0 (26th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Coastal Carolina pass protection vs Arkansas State pass rush
Coastal Carolina's pass protection graded 69.6 in 2025 (43rd of 136); Arkansas State's pass rush graded 66.2 (59th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Coastal Carolina's pass protection. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Arkansas State receiving corps vs Coastal Carolina coverage
Arkansas State's receiving corps graded 63.6 in 2025 (80th of 136); Coastal Carolina's coverage graded 60.9 (106th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Arkansas State's receiving corps.
Coastal Carolina receiving corps vs Arkansas State coverage
Coastal Carolina's receiving corps graded 57.0 in 2025 (135th of 136); Arkansas State's coverage graded 61.4 (103rd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Arkansas State's coverage.
Arkansas State rush offense vs Coastal Carolina run defense
Arkansas State's rush offense graded 71.4 in 2025 (109th of 136); Coastal Carolina's run defense graded 65.6 (85th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Coastal Carolina's run defense.
Coastal Carolina rush offense vs Arkansas State run defense
Coastal Carolina's rush offense graded 70.4 in 2025 (115th of 136); Arkansas State's run defense graded 64.7 (104th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Arkansas State
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon ClayELITE · Tier 5 | RB | 12.83.9–20.4 | — | 5014–73 | 2.20.9–3.6 | 190–24 |
| Chauncy CobbVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.13.7–18.0 | — | — | 4.31.0–6.5 | 5318–76 |
| Devin SpencerVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.63.1–14.5 | — | 4111–66 | 1.80.0–3.3 | 140–18 |
| Hunter SummersELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.43.0–14.6 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.0 | 4114–62 |
| Jaylen Bonellibalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.1–11.4 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 309–41 |
| Tyler LittleHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | TE | 6.81.8–11.5 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.6 | 288–38 |
Coastal Carolina
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deuce BaileyHIGH CEILING · Tier 4 | QB | 19.06.7–28.0 | 17397–249 | 362–71 | — | — |
| Clayton Coppock Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.03.6–19.1 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.4 | 3910–57 |
| Tristian GardnerVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.43.2–14.7 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.3 | 3812–58 |
| Karmello Englishbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 9.03.1–14.2 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.8 | 3711–56 |
| Robby WashingtonVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.71.9–11.9 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | — |
| Dominic KnicelyVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 7.91.8–13.4 | — | — | 1.90.0–3.3 | 160–22 |
| Daelen AlexanderHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 6.91.2–11.4 | — | 326–56 | — | — |
| Zach Courtneybalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.11.7–10.0 | — | — | — | 267–34 |
Arkansas State
- Rush yds
- 50
- Receptions
- 2.2
- Rec yds
- 19
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 53
- Rush yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 1.8
- Rec yds
- 14
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 30
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 28
Coastal Carolina
- Pass yds
- 173
- Rush yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 38
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Rec yds
- 16
- Rush yds
- 32
- Rec yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deuce BaileyQB · CCU | Passing yards | 172.9 | 184.0 | 96.9–248.9 | Shop the line |
| Kenyon ClayRB · ARST | Rushing yards | 49.9 | 44.2 | 14.0–72.6 | Shop the line |
| Clayton Coppock Jr.WR · CCU | Receiving yards | 39.0 | 28.8 | 10.3–56.7 | Shop the line |
| Chauncy CobbWR · ARST | Receiving yards | 53.4 | 41.3 | 18.1–76.0 | Shop the line |
| Devin SpencerRB · ARST | Rushing yards | 41.1 | 37.2 | 10.9–65.5 | Shop the line |
| Tristian GardnerWR · CCU | Receiving yards | 37.5 | 29.2 | 12.4–57.7 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 172.9
- Median
- 184.0
- 20th–80th
- 96.9–248.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 49.9
- Median
- 44.2
- 20th–80th
- 14.0–72.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 39.0
- Median
- 28.8
- 20th–80th
- 10.3–56.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 53.4
- Median
- 41.3
- 20th–80th
- 18.1–76.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 41.1
- Median
- 37.2
- 20th–80th
- 10.9–65.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.5
- Median
- 29.2
- 20th–80th
- 12.4–57.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated