Old Dominion Monarchs at Georgia State Panthers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 3
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Georgia State home
- Center Parc Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 13 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Old Dominion visits Georgia State in Week 5.
Old Dominion travels to Georgia State at Center Parc Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 13 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Cameran Brown (GAST), Devin Roche (ODU), and Jaxon Potter (ODU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
13 player distributions are available, led by Cameran Brown (GAST).
Venue context
Georgia State is the designated home team at Center Parc Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:03+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:03+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Old Dominion pass protection vs Georgia State pass rush
Old Dominion's pass protection graded 69.6 in 2025 (42nd of 136); Georgia State's pass rush graded 63.4 (92nd). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Old Dominion's pass protection. Old Dominion's pass protection returns only 7.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Georgia State pass protection vs Old Dominion pass rush
Georgia State's pass protection graded 52.2 in 2025 (130th of 136); Old Dominion's pass rush graded 63.6 (88th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Old Dominion's pass rush.
Old Dominion receiving corps vs Georgia State coverage
Old Dominion's receiving corps graded 67.4 in 2025 (22nd of 136); Georgia State's coverage graded 60.3 (107th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Old Dominion's receiving corps. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Georgia State receiving corps vs Old Dominion coverage
Georgia State's receiving corps graded 62.6 in 2025 (98th of 136); Old Dominion's coverage graded 71.4 (10th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Old Dominion's coverage.
Old Dominion rush offense vs Georgia State run defense
Old Dominion's rush offense graded 75.0 in 2025 (73rd of 136); Georgia State's run defense graded 64.8 (99th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Old Dominion's rush offense.
Georgia State rush offense vs Old Dominion run defense
Georgia State's rush offense graded 68.2 in 2025 (129th of 136); Old Dominion's run defense graded 67.6 (59th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Old Dominion's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Old Dominion
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin RocheVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 13.94.4–21.2 | — | 6722–99 | — | — |
| Jaxon PotterVOLATILE · Tier 6 | QB | 9.72.1–19.3 | 15654–241 | — | — | — |
| Maurki Jamesbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 6.61.4–11.1 | — | — | — | — |
| TJ JohnsonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 6.11.8–9.9 | — | — | — | 278–42 |
| Sidney Mbanasorbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 6.52.0–10.0 | — | — | — | 328–49 |
| Leon Haughton Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.31.5–10.0 | — | — | — | — |
Georgia State
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameran BrownHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 13.73.1–23.0 | 15776–232 | 343–53 | — | — |
| Grant Hollierbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 8.92.9–13.9 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.7 | 3410–51 |
| DJ Rilesbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 8.82.4–12.9 | — | — | 3.11.0–4.8 | 3611–49 |
| Dennis Murray Jr.SAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 7.12.2–11.4 | — | — | 2.60.1–3.9 | 276–36 |
| Derrick Avery Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | WR | 5.91.5–9.5 | — | — | — | 267–36 |
| Jaylin Marshallbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 5.81.7–9.4 | — | — | — | 257–34 |
| Kyle WashingtonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 5.81.7–9.7 | — | — | — | 267–35 |
Old Dominion
- Rush yds
- 67
- Pass yds
- 156
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 32
Georgia State
- Pass yds
- 157
- Rush yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 26
- Rec yds
- 25
- Rec yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameran BrownQB · GAST | Passing yards | 157.2 | 166.1 | 76.0–232.2 | Shop the line |
| Devin RocheRB · ODU | Rushing yards | 66.8 | 54.3 | 22.0–99.1 | Shop the line |
| Jaxon PotterQB · ODU | Passing yards | 156.2 | 179.1 | 53.7–240.6 | Shop the line |
| Grant HollierTE · GAST | Receiving yards | 33.6 | 27.2 | 10.1–51.3 | Shop the line |
| DJ RilesWR · GAST | Receiving yards | 36.4 | 28.6 | 10.8–49.3 | Shop the line |
| Dennis Murray Jr.RB · GAST | Receiving yards | 26.7 | 17.0 | 5.5–36.2 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 157.2
- Median
- 166.1
- 20th–80th
- 76.0–232.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 66.8
- Median
- 54.3
- 20th–80th
- 22.0–99.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 156.2
- Median
- 179.1
- 20th–80th
- 53.7–240.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 33.6
- Median
- 27.2
- 20th–80th
- 10.1–51.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 36.4
- Median
- 28.6
- 20th–80th
- 10.8–49.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 26.7
- Median
- 17.0
- 20th–80th
- 5.5–36.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated