Troy Trojans at James Madison Dukes college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Thu, Oct 29
- 7:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- James Madison home
- Bridgeforth Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 7 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Troy visits James Madison in Week 9.
Troy travels to James Madison at Bridgeforth Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 7 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Goose Crowder (TROY), Braeden Wisloski (JMU), and Dylan Williams (JMU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
7 player distributions are available, led by Goose Crowder (TROY).
Venue context
James Madison is the designated home team at Bridgeforth Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:17+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Troy pass protection vs James Madison pass rush
Troy's pass protection graded 57.0 in 2025 (121st of 136); James Madison's pass rush graded 67.6 (47th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's pass rush. James Madison's pass rush returns only 22.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
James Madison pass protection vs Troy pass rush
James Madison's pass protection graded 66.5 in 2025 (67th of 136); Troy's pass rush graded 64.0 (83rd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for James Madison's pass protection. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
Troy receiving corps vs James Madison coverage
Troy's receiving corps graded 63.3 in 2025 (86th of 136); James Madison's coverage graded 71.4 (12th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's coverage. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
James Madison receiving corps vs Troy coverage
James Madison's receiving corps graded 67.3 in 2025 (23rd of 136); Troy's coverage graded 62.3 (91st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's receiving corps. James Madison's receiving corps returns only 19.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Troy rush offense vs James Madison run defense
Troy's rush offense graded 68.2 in 2025 (130th of 136); James Madison's run defense graded 74.2 (9th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's run defense. James Madison's run defense returns only 19.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
James Madison rush offense vs Troy run defense
James Madison's rush offense graded 78.9 in 2025 (31st of 136); Troy's run defense graded 66.0 (79th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for James Madison's rush offense. James Madison's rush offense returns only 9.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Troy
3 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goose CrowderVOLATILE · Tier 3 | QB | 14.84.8–24.2 | 184115–269 | — | — | — |
| Mojo Dortchbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.21.7–10.2 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.7 | — |
| Jordan LovettELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.51.2–11.0 | — | — | — | 130–17 |
James Madison
4 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Wisloskibalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 9.73.4–14.9 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.3 | 3712–59 |
| Dylan WilliamsVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.6–9.7 | — | — | — | — |
| Arrington MaidenSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 7.30.9–12.3 | — | — | — | — |
| Michael ScottSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 5.81.7–9.5 | — | — | — | 268–41 |
Troy
- Pass yds
- 184
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 13
James Madison
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 37
- Rec yds
- 26
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goose CrowderQB · TROY | Passing yards | 184.3 | 208.3 | 114.9–268.8 | Shop the line |
| Braeden WisloskiWR · JMU | Receiving yards | 37.1 | 30.8 | 12.0–58.5 | Shop the line |
| Mojo DortchWR · TROY | Receptions | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.0–3.7 | Shop the line |
| Michael ScottWR · JMU | Receiving yards | 26.1 | 20.1 | 7.7–41.3 | Shop the line |
| Jordan LovettRB · TROY | Receiving yards | 13.3 | 3.9 | 0.0–17.4 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 184.3
- Median
- 208.3
- 20th–80th
- 114.9–268.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.1
- Median
- 30.8
- 20th–80th
- 12.0–58.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receptions
- Projection
- 2.4
- Median
- 1.4
- 20th–80th
- 1.0–3.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 26.1
- Median
- 20.1
- 20th–80th
- 7.7–41.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 13.3
- Median
- 3.9
- 20th–80th
- 0.0–17.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated