South Alabama Jaguars at Marshall Thundering Herd college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Tue, Oct 20
- 7:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Marshall home
- Joan C. Edwards Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 16 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
South Alabama visits Marshall in Week 8.
South Alabama travels to Marshall at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 16 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (MRSH), Bishop Davenport (USA), and Adrian Norton (MRSH).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
16 player distributions are available, led by Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (MRSH).
Venue context
Marshall is the designated home team at Joan C. Edwards Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:14+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
South Alabama pass protection vs Marshall pass rush
South Alabama's pass protection graded 64.8 in 2025 (80th of 136); Marshall's pass rush graded 63.9 (85th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Marshall pass protection vs South Alabama pass rush
Marshall's pass protection graded 67.7 in 2025 (55th of 136); South Alabama's pass rush graded 61.3 (120th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Marshall's pass protection.
South Alabama receiving corps vs Marshall coverage
South Alabama's receiving corps graded 64.2 in 2025 (76th of 136); Marshall's coverage graded 64.6 (67th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Marshall receiving corps vs South Alabama coverage
Marshall's receiving corps graded 65.7 in 2025 (55th of 136); South Alabama's coverage graded 64.3 (72nd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Marshall's receiving corps.
South Alabama rush offense vs Marshall run defense
South Alabama's rush offense graded 85.3 in 2025 (1st of 136); Marshall's run defense graded 70.1 (37th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for South Alabama's rush offense.
Marshall rush offense vs South Alabama run defense
Marshall's rush offense graded 71.4 in 2025 (110th of 136); South Alabama's run defense graded 61.2 (131st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Marshall's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
South Alabama
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop DavenportELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 16.14.7–25.9 | 15994–237 | 272–57 | — | — |
| Keenan PhillipsVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 9.93.5–17.1 | — | 4512–69 | — | — |
| Anthony EagerVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 9.22.8–14.3 | — | — | 3.31.1–5.3 | 4312–62 |
| Brendan Jenkinsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.2–11.4 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.9 | 329–49 |
| PJ MartinHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 8.01.7–13.5 | — | 349–57 | — | — |
| Micah WoodsELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.9–10.5 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.7 | 287–40 |
| Rod GibbsELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.01.7–10.0 | — | — | — | — |
Marshall
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Del Rio-WilsonELITE · Tier 5 | QB | 17.55.3–26.3 | 210121–258 | 376–56 | — | — |
| Adrian NortonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 13.15.0–20.1 | — | — | 4.31.0–6.3 | 5917–83 |
| Zion TurnerSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 11.32.5–20.0 | 16130–225 | 23-1–40 | — | — |
| De'Andre Tamarezbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 10.03.4–15.9 | — | — | 3.81.0–5.6 | 4816–70 |
| Khalil Wilkinsbalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 9.21.3–16.9 | — | 355–57 | — | — |
| Toby Paynebalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 9.23.0–14.0 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.2 | 4312–60 |
| Jo'Shon Barbiebalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 7.11.7–12.1 | — | 335–54 | — | — |
| Chris CulliverELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.21.7–12.8 | — | — | — | 3110–40 |
| Josiah McLaurinbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 5.71.4–10.3 | — | — | — | — |
South Alabama
- Pass yds
- 159
- Rush yds
- 27
- Rush yds
- 45
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 43
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 32
- Rush yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 28
Marshall
- Pass yds
- 210
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 4.3
- Rec yds
- 59
- Pass yds
- 161
- Rush yds
- 23
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 48
- Rush yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 43
- Rush yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 31
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Del Rio-WilsonQB · MRSH | Passing yards | 210.1 | 202.4 | 121.1–258.0 | Shop the line |
| Bishop DavenportQB · USA | Passing yards | 159.2 | 172.4 | 93.6–236.7 | Shop the line |
| Adrian NortonWR · MRSH | Receiving yards | 58.6 | 46.2 | 17.4–83.4 | Shop the line |
| Zion TurnerQB · MRSH | Passing yards | 160.8 | 168.6 | 29.7–225.3 | Shop the line |
| Keenan PhillipsRB · USA | Rushing yards | 45.4 | 46.7 | 11.9–69.0 | Shop the line |
| De'Andre TamarezWR · MRSH | Receiving yards | 48.4 | 37.4 | 16.0–69.9 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 210.1
- Median
- 202.4
- 20th–80th
- 121.1–258.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 159.2
- Median
- 172.4
- 20th–80th
- 93.6–236.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 58.6
- Median
- 46.2
- 20th–80th
- 17.4–83.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 160.8
- Median
- 168.6
- 20th–80th
- 29.7–225.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 45.4
- Median
- 46.7
- 20th–80th
- 11.9–69.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 48.4
- Median
- 37.4
- 20th–80th
- 16.0–69.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated