Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at West Virginia Mountaineers college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 5
- 12:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- West Virginia home
- Milan Puskar Stadium
- Captured market
- WVU -21.5
- DraftKings · Aug 11, 10:09 PM EDT
- Player model
- 17 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
West Virginia carries the early number into Milan Puskar Stadium.
Coastal Carolina travels to West Virginia at Milan Puskar Stadium. The captured market lists West Virginia as a 21.5-point favorite. That number came from DraftKings and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 17 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Michael Hawkins Jr. (WVU), Scotty Fox Jr. (WVU), and Cam Cook (WVU).
Market frame
West Virginia is the captured favorite by 21.5; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
17 player distributions are available, led by Michael Hawkins Jr. (WVU).
Venue context
West Virginia is the designated home team at Milan Puskar Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00DraftKings snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:09:50ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Coastal Carolina pass protection vs West Virginia pass rush
Coastal Carolina's pass protection graded 69.6 in 2025 (43rd of 136); West Virginia's pass rush graded 62.5 (101st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Coastal Carolina's pass protection. Both units return under a quarter of their 2025 snaps, so last season's form carries less weight here.
West Virginia pass protection vs Coastal Carolina pass rush
West Virginia's pass protection graded 66.8 in 2025 (63rd of 136); Coastal Carolina's pass rush graded 69.0 (26th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Coastal Carolina's pass rush. Coastal Carolina's pass rush returns only 18.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Coastal Carolina receiving corps vs West Virginia coverage
Coastal Carolina's receiving corps graded 57.0 in 2025 (135th of 136); West Virginia's coverage graded 58.8 (118th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for West Virginia's coverage. West Virginia's coverage returns only 8.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
West Virginia receiving corps vs Coastal Carolina coverage
West Virginia's receiving corps graded 60.6 in 2025 (118th of 136); Coastal Carolina's coverage graded 60.9 (106th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Coastal Carolina rush offense vs West Virginia run defense
Coastal Carolina's rush offense graded 70.4 in 2025 (115th of 136); West Virginia's run defense graded 67.8 (58th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for West Virginia's run defense. West Virginia's run defense returns only 12.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
West Virginia rush offense vs Coastal Carolina run defense
West Virginia's rush offense graded 65.1 in 2025 (134th of 136); Coastal Carolina's run defense graded 65.6 (85th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Coastal Carolina's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Coastal Carolina
8 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deuce BaileyELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 15.94.3–24.4 | 15888–238 | 32-4–66 | — | — |
| Clayton Coppock Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | WR | 10.03.2–17.7 | — | — | 3.61.0–5.5 | 3710–55 |
| Tristian GardnerHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 8.52.6–13.3 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.4 | 3512–57 |
| Karmello EnglishELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 8.22.7–12.3 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.8 | 3410–54 |
| Robby WashingtonHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 7.41.7–10.8 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.2 | — |
| Dominic KnicelyHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 7.01.5–11.4 | — | — | 1.90.0–3.3 | 140–22 |
| Daelen AlexanderHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 6.11.0–9.5 | — | 285–53 | — | — |
| Zach Courtneybalanced · Tier 5 | TE | 5.41.5–8.2 | — | — | — | 246–34 |
West Virginia
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Hawkins Jr.balanced · Tier 4 | QB | 14.54.9–24.0 | — | — | — | — |
| Scotty Fox Jr.HIGH CEILING · Tier 4 | QB | 17.75.5–29.8 | 21193–271 | — | — | — |
| Cam CookELITE · Tier 5 | RB | 17.68.5–25.5 | — | 8029–114 | 2.10.9–3.7 | 170–32 |
| DJ Eppsbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 12.43.9–17.4 | — | — | 4.01.0–6.2 | 5017–74 |
| Jaden BraySAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 8.42.6–12.6 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.2 | 3611–58 |
| John NeiderELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 9.72.9–14.9 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.5 | 3812–62 |
| Prince StrachanSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 7.32.0–11.6 | — | — | — | 309–49 |
| Josh SappELITE · Tier 5 | TE | 7.31.8–11.3 | — | — | — | 288–38 |
| Ryan WardHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | TE | 6.61.6–10.4 | — | — | — | — |
Coastal Carolina
- Pass yds
- 158
- Rush yds
- 32
- Receptions
- 3.6
- Rec yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 34
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Receptions
- 1.9
- Rec yds
- 14
- Rush yds
- 28
- Rec yds
- 24
West Virginia
- Pass yds
- 211
- Rush yds
- 80
- Receptions
- 2.1
- Rec yds
- 17
- Receptions
- 4.0
- Rec yds
- 50
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 36
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 38
- Rec yds
- 30
- Rec yds
- 28
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotty Fox Jr.QB · WVU | Passing yards | 211.1 | 221.2 | 93.0–270.6 | Shop the line |
| Cam CookRB · WVU | Rushing yards | 79.5 | 67.8 | 28.8–113.7 | Shop the line |
| Deuce BaileyQB · CCU | Passing yards | 157.6 | 168.8 | 88.1–238.4 | Shop the line |
| DJ EppsWR · WVU | Receiving yards | 49.8 | 42.5 | 17.0–74.1 | Shop the line |
| Clayton Coppock Jr.WR · CCU | Receiving yards | 36.7 | 27.5 | 10.4–54.7 | Shop the line |
| Jaden BrayWR · WVU | Receiving yards | 36.2 | 26.6 | 10.8–58.0 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 211.1
- Median
- 221.2
- 20th–80th
- 93.0–270.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 79.5
- Median
- 67.8
- 20th–80th
- 28.8–113.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 157.6
- Median
- 168.8
- 20th–80th
- 88.1–238.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 49.8
- Median
- 42.5
- 20th–80th
- 17.0–74.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 36.7
- Median
- 27.5
- 20th–80th
- 10.4–54.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 36.2
- Median
- 26.6
- 20th–80th
- 10.8–58.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated