Duke Blue Devils at Miami Hurricanes college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 14
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Miami home
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 20 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Duke visits Miami in Week 11.
Duke travels to Miami at Hard Rock Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 20 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Malachi Toney (MIA), Darian Mensah (MIA), and Nate Sheppard (DUKE).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
20 player distributions are available, led by Malachi Toney (MIA).
Venue context
Miami is the designated home team at Hard Rock Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:23+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Duke pass protection vs Miami pass rush
Duke's pass protection graded 69.9 in 2025 (37th of 136); Miami's pass rush graded 77.3 (1st). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Miami's pass rush.
Miami pass protection vs Duke pass rush
Miami's pass protection graded 77.7 in 2025 (3rd of 136); Duke's pass rush graded 64.9 (74th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami's pass protection.
Duke receiving corps vs Miami coverage
Duke's receiving corps graded 69.0 in 2025 (15th of 136); Miami's coverage graded 70.5 (16th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Miami receiving corps vs Duke coverage
Miami's receiving corps graded 69.1 in 2025 (12th of 136); Duke's coverage graded 60.2 (110th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami's receiving corps.
Duke rush offense vs Miami run defense
Duke's rush offense graded 80.0 in 2025 (23rd of 136); Miami's run defense graded 71.7 (21st). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Miami rush offense vs Duke run defense
Miami's rush offense graded 79.6 in 2025 (24th of 136); Duke's run defense graded 65.7 (84th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Miami's rush offense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Duke
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate SheppardSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | RB | 15.96.4–24.4 | — | 7222–104 | 2.40.9–4.1 | 190–35 |
| CJ Campbell Jr.ELITE · Tier 5 | RB | 13.34.2–21.1 | — | 5514–78 | — | 200–40 |
| Jeremiah HasleyELITE · Tier 1 | TE | 11.84.0–19.0 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.6 | 4817–68 |
| Javen Nicholasbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 13.54.0–22.3 | — | — | 4.51.0–6.7 | 5620–89 |
| Walker EgetELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 10.42.4–20.2 | 16747–219 | — | — | — |
| Ari Patubalanced · Tier 6 | QB | 7.71.0–16.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Nate Kuriskybalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 6.72.0–10.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Jake TaylorELITE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.11.8–10.3 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.8 | 277–32 |
| Jayden MooreVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.11.7–9.6 | — | — | 2.21.0–3.0 | — |
Miami
11 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi ToneyELITE · Tier 1 | WR | 18.36.9–25.4 | — | — | 5.51.0–8.0 | 6315–95 |
| Darian MensahSAFE FLOOR · Tier 4 | QB | 17.66.4–25.3 | 218143–260 | — | — | — |
| Mark Fletcher Jr.balanced · Tier 5 | RB | 13.54.8–21.9 | — | 4413–68 | 1.80.9–3.2 | — |
| Cooper BarkateVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.33.8–16.8 | — | — | 4.01.0–6.0 | 5417–77 |
| Vandrevius JacobsELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 11.34.1–18.9 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.5 | 5315–81 |
| Girard Pringle Jr.VOLATILE · Tier 5 | RB | 9.23.6–17.2 | — | 5114–76 | — | 130–14 |
| Cam VaughnHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 10.23.2–15.4 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.8 | 5314–71 |
| Elija LoftonVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 7.72.0–12.1 | — | — | — | 318–41 |
| CharMar BrownSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 7.82.1–13.3 | — | 347–57 | — | — |
| Joshua MooreELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 7.42.1–12.4 | — | — | — | 2910–46 |
| Jordan LyleELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.71.7–11.3 | — | 335–55 | — | — |
Duke
- Rush yds
- 72
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 19
- Rush yds
- 55
- Rec yds
- 20
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 48
- Receptions
- 4.5
- Rec yds
- 56
- Pass yds
- 167
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 2.2
Miami
- Receptions
- 5.5
- Rec yds
- 63
- Pass yds
- 218
- Rush yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 1.8
- Receptions
- 4.0
- Rec yds
- 54
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 53
- Rush yds
- 51
- Rec yds
- 13
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 53
- Rec yds
- 31
- Rush yds
- 34
- Rec yds
- 29
- Rush yds
- 33
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi ToneyWR · MIA | Receiving yards | 62.9 | 42.0 | 15.2–94.5 | Shop the line |
| Darian MensahQB · MIA | Passing yards | 217.7 | 216.9 | 143.1–260.2 | Shop the line |
| Nate SheppardRB · DUKE | Rushing yards | 72.1 | 61.2 | 22.3–103.6 | Shop the line |
| Mark Fletcher Jr.RB · MIA | Rushing yards | 43.6 | 43.4 | 13.3–68.4 | Shop the line |
| CJ Campbell Jr.RB · DUKE | Rushing yards | 55.2 | 45.1 | 14.3–78.2 | Shop the line |
| Jeremiah HasleyTE · DUKE | Receiving yards | 47.8 | 38.5 | 16.9–68.3 | Shop the line |
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 62.9
- Median
- 42.0
- 20th–80th
- 15.2–94.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Passing yards
- Projection
- 217.7
- Median
- 216.9
- 20th–80th
- 143.1–260.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 72.1
- Median
- 61.2
- 20th–80th
- 22.3–103.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 43.6
- Median
- 43.4
- 20th–80th
- 13.3–68.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 55.2
- Median
- 45.1
- 20th–80th
- 14.3–78.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 47.8
- Median
- 38.5
- 20th–80th
- 16.9–68.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated