Fresno State Bulldogs at Washington State Cougars college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Oct 3
- 9:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Washington State home
- Martin Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 12 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Fresno State visits Washington State in Week 5.
Fresno State travels to Washington State at Martin Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 12 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Kirby Vorhees (WSU), Tony Freeman (WSU), and Josiah Freeman (FRES).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
12 player distributions are available, led by Kirby Vorhees (WSU).
Venue context
Washington State is the designated home team at Martin Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:03+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:03+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Fresno State pass protection vs Washington State pass rush
Fresno State's pass protection graded 73.3 in 2025 (14th of 136); Washington State's pass rush graded 67.8 (44th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Fresno State's pass protection.
Washington State pass protection vs Fresno State pass rush
Washington State's pass protection graded 50.5 in 2025 (132nd of 136); Fresno State's pass rush graded 63.2 (94th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Fresno State's pass rush.
Fresno State receiving corps vs Washington State coverage
Fresno State's receiving corps graded 60.6 in 2025 (116th of 136); Washington State's coverage graded 67.0 (37th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Washington State's coverage. Washington State's coverage returns only 8.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Washington State receiving corps vs Fresno State coverage
Washington State's receiving corps graded 65.9 in 2025 (48th of 136); Fresno State's coverage graded 68.7 (24th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Fresno State's coverage.
Fresno State rush offense vs Washington State run defense
Fresno State's rush offense graded 77.2 in 2025 (51st of 136); Washington State's run defense graded 66.0 (80th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Fresno State's rush offense.
Washington State rush offense vs Fresno State run defense
Washington State's rush offense graded 72.5 in 2025 (101st of 136); Fresno State's run defense graded 65.0 (93rd). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Fresno State
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah FreemanELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 10.93.9–16.8 | — | — | 3.91.1–5.8 | 4615–67 |
| Rayshon Lukebalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 10.53.7–17.4 | — | 4413–63 | 2.30.0–4.0 | 160–20 |
| Bryson DonelsonELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.22.2–12.7 | — | 378–61 | — | — |
| Jahlil McClainbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 7.32.3–11.5 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.1 | 339–48 |
| Brandon RamirezHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 7.61.7–11.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Malau'uluSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 6.11.7–10.2 | — | — | — | 277–34 |
| Jayon FarrarSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 6.11.8–10.5 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 297–38 |
Washington State
5 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirby Vorheesbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 11.74.6–19.8 | — | 5815–83 | — | — |
| Tony FreemanELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 10.93.9–16.5 | — | — | 3.61.0–5.3 | 4915–72 |
| Darrius ClemonsHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 10.04.2–17.3 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.5 | 4915–73 |
| Trey LecknerVOLATILE · Tier 6 | TE | 6.92.0–10.9 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.7 | — |
| Maxwell WoodsELITE · Tier 6 | RB | 6.61.5–11.2 | — | — | — | — |
Fresno State
- Receptions
- 3.9
- Rec yds
- 46
- Rush yds
- 44
- Receptions
- 2.3
- Rec yds
- 16
- Rush yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 27
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 29
Washington State
- Rush yds
- 58
- Receptions
- 3.6
- Rec yds
- 49
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 49
- Receptions
- 2.5
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirby VorheesRB · WSU | Rushing yards | 57.6 | 52.2 | 15.1–83.3 | Shop the line |
| Tony FreemanWR · WSU | Receiving yards | 49.3 | 38.2 | 15.2–72.4 | Shop the line |
| Josiah FreemanWR · FRES | Receiving yards | 45.5 | 36.7 | 15.0–67.0 | Shop the line |
| Darrius ClemonsWR · WSU | Receiving yards | 48.6 | 37.8 | 15.0–72.6 | Shop the line |
| Rayshon LukeRB · FRES | Rushing yards | 44.0 | 42.0 | 12.9–63.0 | Shop the line |
| Bryson DonelsonRB · FRES | Rushing yards | 36.6 | 34.6 | 8.4–61.3 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 57.6
- Median
- 52.2
- 20th–80th
- 15.1–83.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 49.3
- Median
- 38.2
- 20th–80th
- 15.2–72.4
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 45.5
- Median
- 36.7
- 20th–80th
- 15.0–67.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 48.6
- Median
- 37.8
- 20th–80th
- 15.0–72.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 44.0
- Median
- 42.0
- 20th–80th
- 12.9–63.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 36.6
- Median
- 34.6
- 20th–80th
- 8.4–61.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated