Jacksonville State Gamecocks at North Dakota State Bison college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Aug 29
- 5:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- North Dakota State home
- Fargodome
- Captured market
- NDSU -7
- DraftKings · Aug 11, 10:09 PM EDT
- Player model
- 6 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
North Dakota State carries the early number into Fargodome.
Jacksonville State travels to North Dakota State at Fargodome. The captured market lists North Dakota State as a 7-point favorite. That number came from DraftKings and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 6 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Caden Creel (JXST), Deondre Johnson (JXST), and Ronnel Johnson (JXST).
Market frame
North Dakota State is the captured favorite by 7; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
6 player distributions are available, led by Caden Creel (JXST).
Venue context
North Dakota State is the designated home team at Fargodome.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00DraftKings snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:09:50ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Jacksonville State
4 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden CreelELITE · Tier 6 | QB | 17.05.7–25.9 | 15584–228 | 5214–89 | — | — |
| Deondre JohnsonELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 11.93.8–18.6 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.3 | 5215–78 |
| Ronnel Johnsonbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 6.72.2–10.7 | — | — | 3.01.0–4.6 | 338–49 |
| Jalen LikelySAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | RB | 5.01.2–9.2 | — | 201–29 | — | — |
North Dakota State
2 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah PattersonHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | WR | 6.91.9–10.6 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.8 | — |
| Jordan McCantsbalanced · Tier 6 | WR | 6.91.9–10.8 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.9 | 318–50 |
Jacksonville State
- Pass yds
- 155
- Rush yds
- 52
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 52
- Receptions
- 3.0
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rush yds
- 20
North Dakota State
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 31
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden CreelQB · JXST | Passing yards | 155.2 | 152.0 | 83.5–227.6 | Shop the line |
| Deondre JohnsonWR · JXST | Receiving yards | 52.2 | 40.0 | 15.3–77.9 | Shop the line |
| Ronnel JohnsonWR · JXST | Receiving yards | 33.4 | 24.2 | 7.5–49.3 | Shop the line |
| Jeremiah PattersonWR · NDSU | Receptions | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0–3.8 | Shop the line |
| Jordan McCantsWR · NDSU | Receiving yards | 31.3 | 22.6 | 7.7–50.2 | Shop the line |
| Jalen LikelyRB · JXST | Rushing yards | 19.7 | 7.1 | 0.8–29.1 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 155.2
- Median
- 152.0
- 20th–80th
- 83.5–227.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 52.2
- Median
- 40.0
- 20th–80th
- 15.3–77.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 33.4
- Median
- 24.2
- 20th–80th
- 7.5–49.3
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receptions
- Projection
- 2.5
- Median
- 1.5
- 20th–80th
- 1.0–3.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 31.3
- Median
- 22.6
- 20th–80th
- 7.7–50.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 19.7
- Median
- 7.1
- 20th–80th
- 0.8–29.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated