Akron Zips at Massachusetts Minutemen college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Wed, Nov 18
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Massachusetts home
- Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 16 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Akron visits Massachusetts in Week 12.
Akron travels to Massachusetts at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 16 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Ben Finley (AKR), Jordan Gant (AKR), and Marcel Williams (AKR).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
16 player distributions are available, led by Ben Finley (AKR).
Venue context
Massachusetts is the designated home team at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:27+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:27+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Akron pass protection vs Massachusetts pass rush
Akron's pass protection graded 57.5 in 2025 (120th of 136); Massachusetts's pass rush graded 65.8 (61st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Massachusetts's pass rush. Massachusetts's pass rush returns only 11.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Massachusetts pass protection vs Akron pass rush
Massachusetts's pass protection graded 43.0 in 2025 (135th of 136); Akron's pass rush graded 68.3 (34th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Akron's pass rush.
Akron receiving corps vs Massachusetts coverage
Akron's receiving corps graded 61.5 in 2025 (107th of 136); Massachusetts's coverage graded 56.0 (134th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Akron's receiving corps.
Massachusetts receiving corps vs Akron coverage
Massachusetts's receiving corps graded 56.0 in 2025 (136th of 136); Akron's coverage graded 62.7 (85th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Akron's coverage.
Akron rush offense vs Massachusetts run defense
Akron's rush offense graded 73.4 in 2025 (89th of 136); Massachusetts's run defense graded 62.5 (122nd). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Akron's rush offense.
Massachusetts rush offense vs Akron run defense
Massachusetts's rush offense graded 65.3 in 2025 (133rd of 136); Akron's run defense graded 69.6 (41st). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Akron's run defense.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Akron
10 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Finleybalanced · Tier 4 | QB | 17.87.7–28.0 | 204137–254 | 260–48 | — | — |
| Jordan Gantbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 16.16.4–22.4 | — | 7531–107 | — | — |
| Marcel WilliamsELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 14.84.5–21.3 | — | — | 4.51.0–6.8 | 6123–94 |
| Kyan MasonHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 9.13.0–14.1 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.4 | 4112–58 |
| Alex AdamsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 8.42.9–12.5 | — | — | 3.11.0–5.0 | 3910–56 |
| Conner Cravaackbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.92.4–12.0 | — | — | 2.71.0–4.1 | 339–48 |
| Myles WalkerVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.92.1–10.8 | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Grear Jr.balanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.42.2–11.3 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.1 | 3310–48 |
| Jean Louis IIIELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.82.1–11.1 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.6 | 319–51 |
| Cameron MonteiroELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.31.9–10.4 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.8 | 288–40 |
Massachusetts
6 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Y. HardingHIGH CEILING · Tier 5 | WR | 7.72.4–12.2 | — | — | 2.81.0–4.1 | 3510–52 |
| Max Dowlingbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 7.62.2–11.9 | — | — | 2.61.0–3.8 | — |
| Kezion Dia-Johnsonbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 7.02.2–11.5 | — | — | 2.51.0–3.7 | 339–49 |
| Reece AdkinsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | TE | 6.31.9–10.6 | — | — | — | 288–40 |
| Elijah PedroVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 5.81.4–9.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Andersonbalanced · Tier 6 | TE | 5.91.5–9.7 | — | — | — | — |
Akron
- Pass yds
- 204
- Rush yds
- 26
- Rush yds
- 75
- Receptions
- 4.5
- Rec yds
- 61
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 41
- Receptions
- 3.1
- Rec yds
- 39
- Receptions
- 2.7
- Rec yds
- 33
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 33
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 31
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 28
Massachusetts
- Receptions
- 2.8
- Rec yds
- 35
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Receptions
- 2.5
- Rec yds
- 33
- Rec yds
- 28
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben FinleyQB · AKR | Passing yards | 203.6 | 212.3 | 136.5–253.9 | Shop the line |
| Jordan GantRB · AKR | Rushing yards | 74.8 | 60.4 | 30.9–107.2 | Shop the line |
| Marcel WilliamsWR · AKR | Receiving yards | 61.0 | 48.8 | 23.0–94.1 | Shop the line |
| Kyan MasonWR · AKR | Receiving yards | 40.8 | 27.0 | 11.8–57.5 | Shop the line |
| Alex AdamsWR · AKR | Receiving yards | 38.5 | 27.7 | 10.3–55.8 | Shop the line |
| Conner CravaackTE · AKR | Receiving yards | 32.7 | 25.4 | 9.4–48.2 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 203.6
- Median
- 212.3
- 20th–80th
- 136.5–253.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 74.8
- Median
- 60.4
- 20th–80th
- 30.9–107.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 61.0
- Median
- 48.8
- 20th–80th
- 23.0–94.1
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 40.8
- Median
- 27.0
- 20th–80th
- 11.8–57.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 38.5
- Median
- 27.7
- 20th–80th
- 10.3–55.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 32.7
- Median
- 25.4
- 20th–80th
- 9.4–48.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated