Central Michigan Chippewas at Buffalo Bulls college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Wed, Nov 18
- Time TBA
- Venue
- Buffalo home
- Broadview Stadium
- Captured market
- Line not posted
- No verified spread
- Player model
- 13 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Central Michigan visits Buffalo in Week 12.
Central Michigan travels to Buffalo at Broadview Stadium. No sourced spread is attached to this game yet, so the page does not infer a favorite.
The published player model covers 13 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Angel Flores (CMU), Langston Lewis (CMU), and Brock Townsend (CMU).
Market pending
There is no verified spread for this matchup in the committed snapshot.
Player projection coverage
13 player distributions are available, led by Angel Flores (CMU).
Venue context
Buffalo is the designated home team at Broadview Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:27+00:00No favorite inferred
context onlyPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:35:27+00:00Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Unit edges from the 2025 charting
Offense units paired against the defense units they will face, from snap-weighted 2025 PFF grades, national ranks, and returning-snap shares. Historical form, never a game prediction.
Each offense unit paired against the defense unit it will actually face, using 2025 snap-weighted PFF grades and national ranks, with returning-snap caveats where an edge rests on departed players. Measured history, not a game prediction.
Central Michigan pass protection vs Buffalo pass rush
Central Michigan's pass protection graded 46.1 in 2025 (134th of 136); Buffalo's pass rush graded 69.7 (20th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Buffalo's pass rush. Buffalo's pass rush returns only 14.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Buffalo pass protection vs Central Michigan pass rush
Buffalo's pass protection graded 69.9 in 2025 (38th of 136); Central Michigan's pass rush graded 67.5 (49th). On 2025 form this pairing is effectively a push.
Central Michigan receiving corps vs Buffalo coverage
Central Michigan's receiving corps graded 67.0 in 2025 (28th of 136); Buffalo's coverage graded 65.8 (49th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Central Michigan's receiving corps.
Buffalo receiving corps vs Central Michigan coverage
Buffalo's receiving corps graded 64.8 in 2025 (64th of 136); Central Michigan's coverage graded 66.9 (40th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Central Michigan's coverage. Central Michigan's coverage returns only 19.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Central Michigan rush offense vs Buffalo run defense
Central Michigan's rush offense graded 73.1 in 2025 (92nd of 136); Buffalo's run defense graded 69.8 (38th). On 2025 form that is a clear edge for Buffalo's run defense.
Buffalo rush offense vs Central Michigan run defense
Buffalo's rush offense graded 69.3 in 2025 (126th of 136); Central Michigan's run defense graded 65.0 (94th). On 2025 form that is a modest edge for Central Michigan's run defense. Central Michigan's run defense returns only 24.0% of those snaps, so the edge rests on departed production.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Central Michigan
9 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel FloresHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 14.64.1–24.1 | — | 509–81 | — | — |
| Langston Lewisbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 12.94.1–20.5 | — | — | 3.81.1–5.7 | 5516–82 |
| Brock Townsendbalanced · Tier 6 | RB | 11.53.3–19.1 | — | 388–63 | — | — |
| Tommy McIntoshSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 10.43.3–15.5 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.3 | 4314–65 |
| Jadyn GlasserHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | QB | 8.71.2–17.6 | — | — | — | — |
| Vaughn BlueVOLATILE · Tier 6 | RB | 8.72.1–14.3 | — | — | — | 140–21 |
| Marcus BeamonSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | QB | 7.21.0–11.7 | — | 311–53 | — | — |
| Nasir WilliamsSAFE FLOOR · Tier 5 | WR | 6.32.0–10.2 | — | — | — | 278–44 |
| Collin Paynebalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 6.81.8–10.4 | — | — | — | 339–48 |
Buffalo
4 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasaiah Gathingsbalanced · Tier 5 | WR | 10.63.8–15.9 | — | — | 3.51.0–5.4 | 4312–62 |
| Terrance Shelton Jr.balanced · Tier 6 | RB | 9.12.7–14.0 | — | 3812–64 | — | — |
| Chance MorrowELITE · Tier 5 | WR | 8.12.4–13.4 | — | — | 2.61.0–4.1 | 3010–48 |
| Patrick Clacks IIIVOLATILE · Tier 5 | WR | 6.82.1–10.6 | — | — | — | — |
Central Michigan
- Rush yds
- 50
- Receptions
- 3.8
- Rec yds
- 55
- Rush yds
- 38
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 43
- Rec yds
- 14
- Rush yds
- 31
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 33
Buffalo
- Receptions
- 3.5
- Rec yds
- 43
- Rush yds
- 38
- Receptions
- 2.6
- Rec yds
- 30
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel FloresQB · CMU | Rushing yards | 50.2 | 41.1 | 8.5–81.0 | Shop the line |
| Langston LewisWR · CMU | Receiving yards | 54.8 | 39.9 | 15.9–82.2 | Shop the line |
| Brock TownsendRB · CMU | Rushing yards | 38.0 | 30.9 | 8.0–62.6 | Shop the line |
| Jasaiah GathingsWR · BUF | Receiving yards | 43.3 | 32.1 | 12.1–61.6 | Shop the line |
| Tommy McIntoshWR · CMU | Receiving yards | 43.2 | 35.2 | 14.1–65.2 | Shop the line |
| Terrance Shelton Jr.RB · BUF | Rushing yards | 38.2 | 31.8 | 11.8–63.7 | Shop the line |
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 50.2
- Median
- 41.1
- 20th–80th
- 8.5–81.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 54.8
- Median
- 39.9
- 20th–80th
- 15.9–82.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 38.0
- Median
- 30.9
- 20th–80th
- 8.0–62.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 43.3
- Median
- 32.1
- 20th–80th
- 12.1–61.6
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 43.2
- Median
- 35.2
- 20th–80th
- 14.1–65.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 38.2
- Median
- 31.8
- 20th–80th
- 11.8–63.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter this page. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- No line
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated